Multi-outcome · 5 open · 2 closed hidden
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Volume $630.3kTraders 390Trades 20,586
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $187.3k
43.0%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $211.8k
29.5%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $414.2k
20.5%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $65.6k
9.3%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
open · $143.6k
1.1%
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