Intent guide · polydata.pro
Polymarket market movers — largest odds shifts, research view
See which open Polymarket books moved the most in implied Yes over the last day, then open the live movers board for 1h / 24h / 7d. Not trade signals — investigation only.
Why odds moves matter
When implied Yes jumps or collapses, attention and capital are repricing a book. A movers board is not a signal to chase that move — it is a map of where probability changed the most among liquid open markets. Polydata ranks by Δpp (percentage points), not by volume alone, so a quiet high-liquidity book that shifted 8pp still surfaces.
Gainers = largest +Δpp in Yes. Losers = largest −Δpp. Reference prices use Yes-side (token1) fills near the window start; markets without a usable reference are omitted.
Live sample · 24h gainers
| Market | Yes% | Δpp | Vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 84% | +79.3 | $27K |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | 83% | +52.5 | $26K |
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain? | 50% | +45.5 | $27K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | 50% | +42.0 | $13K |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | 47% | +40.9 | $13K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | 50% | +36.0 | $32K |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | 50% | +34.0 | $14K |
| Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | 50% | +31.0 | $19K |
Categories and other surfaces
Live movers support category filters (politics, crypto, sports, weather) so one vertical does not drown the board. Volume-ranked research hubs live at /markets/politics, crypto, and sports. Pair with the whale feed, screener, and research watchlist. Polydata never routes orders.
FAQ
What are Polymarket market movers?
A ranked list of open, liquid markets with the largest change in implied Yes probability over 1h, 24h, or 7d. Gainers rose in Yes%; losers fell. Research snapshot — not a buy/sell signal.
What does Yes% and Δpp mean?
Yes% is the current implied probability that Yes pays $1. Δpp is the change in that probability in percentage points versus a Yes-side reference fill near the window start.
Why only liquid markets?
Polydata filters to window volume ≥ $5k and drops near-certain books so thin or settlement dust does not dominate the ranking.
Where is the live board?
Open /movers for live Gainers and Losers with period tabs. This page explains the research view; the live board refreshes from Polydata’s indexed tape.
Is this financial advice?
No. Polydata is research-only and never executes trades. Pair movers with whale feed and market overview before drawing conclusions.
Related: Polymarket analytics · Methodology · Oracle · Stats