Multi-outcome · 7 open
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Volume $156.7kTraders 153Trades 5,292
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
open · $96.3k
42.5%
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
open · $48.6k
31.3%
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
open · $60.2k
5.9%
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
open · $105.9k
4.5%
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?
open · $3.2k
2.7%
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
open · $4.0k
1.9%
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
open · $4.6k
0.7%
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