Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?

0x2f44b9521e19fcdb7ce8c140eeacd6ca9bb98cdfe52a3e3fcc49b230e8b678be

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 6.3% · CLOB volume $9.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

6.3%

Yes

Implied No

93.7%

Volume

$9.0k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 6.3%No 93.7%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.3% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($9.0k) — wide moves possible
•Near expiry (1 day left)

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

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Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

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