Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

0x98152f024bc4b1131f75064e97a4afc91c25fd1f8f662d32b7aaee3af4728fec

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 37.5% · CLOB volume $652 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

37.5%

Yes

Implied No

62.5%

Volume

$652

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 37.5%No 62.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 37.5% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($652) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

No participant rollup yet for this market.

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

No event trader rollup yet for this market.

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API