Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

0xa81ac106a6e4589111a7a61d1f327dc73c13f8e088fd600a8d89966876b1a6f7

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 47.0% · CLOB volume $2.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

47.0%

Yes

Implied No

53.0%

Volume

$2.6k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 47.0%No 53.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 47.0% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($2.6k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

1 open · 1 total

Will there be at least 2500 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?

open · $306

92.5%

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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