Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?

0xbfc07e20d57aa0b7fcc874b2e60a54a62548c85c2817c099681b86b8566d8c61

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $19.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$19.5k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($19.5k) — wide moves possible
•Near expiry (1 day left)

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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