@yvanovic

#2,925,7835

0x01a92cb2264adc6ff3d9dbaaad8d38d5170933f6

~25d· 16 markets · 62 tradesVol: $70,286 @yvanovic2372026-08-06 06:14:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (4/14)0/20
0.10x (win $128 / loss $1,271)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.0980/15
Sortino -11.9650/10
$-0.4862 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1434 (14 markets)5.3/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1496% of peak ($1,225 / $82)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,147$-987Vol: $70,286

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-987
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
47B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$23
Vol: $0
Month
$-11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-987
Vol: $70,286

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
4W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-958
Win Rate
29%
4W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $123 (0.1285881296841402% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?$61
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$41
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$5

Top Losers

Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$-317
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$-232
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?$-205
Macron out in 2025?$-174
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$-109
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$-102
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-73
Macron out by October 31, 2025?$-24
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$-19
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.739
Sortino
-0.827
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.736
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
50.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 368s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 11:20:49 AM2 trades$6150 min
7/15/2026, 5:57:08 PM10 trades$4790 min
10/13/2025, 6:43:59 AM3 trades$2427 min
10/12/2025, 10:04:29 PM1 trades$1660 min
1/31/2026, 10:50:56 AM3 trades$1352 min
10/16/2025, 1:46:21 PM3 trades$1237 min
2/28/2026, 1:37:29 PM1 trades$1190 min
10/11/2025, 7:49:18 AM2 trades$1162 min
10/9/2025, 4:50:12 AM1 trades$1010 min
10/16/2025, 1:59:05 PM1 trades$930 min
10/6/2025, 1:20:43 PM2 trades$813 min
10/18/2025, 11:46:09 AM1 trades$730 min
10/15/2025, 6:26:55 PM1 trades$700 min
2/4/2026, 7:05:45 PM3 trades$703 min
10/24/2025, 9:02:09 AM1 trades$670 min
10/14/2025, 8:30:05 PM1 trades$640 min
10/5/2025, 9:27:41 AM3 trades$514 min
10/14/2025, 6:31:51 PM1 trades$500 min
10/16/2025, 4:56:15 PM2 trades$461 min
10/8/2025, 9:45:02 AM1 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-16
10-18
02-04
03-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 166 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.1 / M14.9 / H0