@notmarketmaker
#3,064,640250x06ae9a98783712fb490e9500481c67c3655af059
~55d· 1808 markets · 64056 tradesVol: $1,295,7262026-08-06 07:11:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (884/1803)9.5/20
0.83x (win $70,692 / loss $85,269)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5600/15
Sortino -3.1490/10
$-0.0628 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 356 (1803 markets)10/10
27/53 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 1300% of peak ($17,173 / $1,321)0/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 43.2 entries/market
Whale
$232,037 invested
High Roller
$4,071/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,673,201$-7,592Vol: $1,122,863
⚽ SPORTS#1,875,332$-5,222Vol: $102,222
📈 ECONOMICS#462,930$-1Vol: $58,183
💰 FINANCE#417,809$-0Vol: $10,340
💻 TECH#221,656$-7Vol: $2,118
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-12,822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,295,726
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1808
total markets
Trades
24392B / 39664S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$-21
Vol: $1,733
Week
$-144
Vol: $17,573
Month
$-142
Vol: $17,580
All Time
$-12,822
Vol: $1,295,726
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
884W / 919L events
Realized PnL
$-12,815
Win Rate
49%
884W / 919L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-94
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,472 (0.5830657351257666% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3,662
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,957
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1,853
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1,203
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1,202
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1,150
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1,102
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1,009
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$921
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,884
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,703
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,579
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,417
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-1,379
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-1,215
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-1,064
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-999
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-882
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-852
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.131
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
48%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1123.8
Very active
Markets / Day
31.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
44 min
Avg Trades / Session
574.6
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1124 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
43.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)40.1%
High (>55c)55.9%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 11:57:05 AM3153 trades$36,103127 min
7/19/2026, 8:22:34 PM2137 trades$16,933103 min
6/18/2026, 5:45:41 AM1708 trades$14,443110 min
6/18/2026, 4:27:23 AM1387 trades$11,91373 min
6/18/2026, 3:05:22 AM1185 trades$11,82264 min
6/17/2026, 11:18:16 PM1315 trades$11,49077 min
6/19/2026, 9:30:11 AM962 trades$10,308125 min
7/14/2026, 7:00:04 PM1426 trades$8,45581 min
6/20/2026, 5:38:28 AM634 trades$8,23274 min
6/18/2026, 9:31:17 AM994 trades$8,15087 min
7/19/2026, 6:55:16 PM934 trades$8,15061 min
6/18/2026, 8:02:23 AM919 trades$7,74284 min
7/15/2026, 8:13:44 PM717 trades$7,53659 min
6/17/2026, 6:05:52 PM740 trades$6,30978 min
6/17/2026, 4:35:55 PM659 trades$6,30365 min
6/19/2026, 12:10:53 PM394 trades$5,87121 min
6/17/2026, 3:30:04 PM566 trades$5,62945 min
6/18/2026, 2:14:59 AM644 trades$5,54945 min
6/17/2026, 10:13:08 PM641 trades$5,16647 min
6/20/2026, 8:55:13 AM336 trades$4,19052 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-20
06-28
07-06
07-14
07-22
07-30
08-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M40.1 / H55.9