@wavesinthesky

#2,938,44138

0x07d126ea6f8542a58ee2c4c7c31535dd9b3e8ffa

~130d· 2827 markets · 33211 tradesVol: $1,002,0912026-08-06 06:22:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (473/2426)0/20
1.11x (win $41,832 / loss $37,781)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.53810.1/15
Sortino 1.31310/10
$+0.0642 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 66 (2426 markets)10/10
38/120 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($15,056 / $19,108)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$63,072 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#654,086$-926Vol: $582,376
🏛️ POLITICS#22,740$683Vol: $185,228
💻 TECH#256,483$-498Vol: $98,346
📈 ECONOMICS#9,199$169Vol: $60,763
CRYPTO#1,606,332$-696Vol: $27,791
SPORTS#84,610$217Vol: $12,956
🌤️ WEATHER#292,871$-263Vol: $10,699
🎭 CULTURE#671,921$-8Vol: $3,913
📢 MENTIONS#160,171$-67Vol: $1,305

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,080
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,002,091
Total Redeem
$2,694
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2827
total markets
Trades
19163B / 14048S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$84
Vol: $396
Week
$954
Vol: $15,858
Month
$948
Vol: $15,858
All Time
$-1,080
Vol: $1,002,091

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
472W / 1954L events
Realized PnL
$-1,757
Win Rate
19%
472W / 1954L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,656 (7.203162262303852% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,856
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3,460
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?$3,340
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?$2,363
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$2,326
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,801
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,215
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,078
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 7?$934
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$908

Top Losers

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1,433
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$-1,230
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-997
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-944
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$-942
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-939
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-636
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-636
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-555
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-529

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.067
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
240.7
Very active
Markets / Day
20.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
46 min
Avg Trades / Session
147.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock241 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 3:52:42 PM311 trades$5,985115 min
5/6/2026, 10:37:02 AM408 trades$5,105132 min
5/6/2026, 8:42:28 AM383 trades$5,045105 min
5/7/2026, 11:10:08 AM457 trades$4,948190 min
4/6/2026, 1:16:09 AM375 trades$4,94771 min
4/7/2026, 10:49:11 PM492 trades$4,493112 min
5/6/2026, 1:44:40 PM269 trades$3,08095 min
5/31/2026, 3:27:19 PM98 trades$2,88841 min
5/5/2026, 1:15:34 PM402 trades$2,425127 min
5/9/2026, 9:30:35 AM44 trades$2,39216 min
6/14/2026, 9:34:13 PM123 trades$2,29230 min
4/29/2026, 12:15:36 PM16 trades$2,26110 min
6/20/2026, 2:19:37 PM10 trades$2,1946 min
5/8/2026, 6:25:45 PM154 trades$1,80759 min
4/6/2026, 2:39:41 AM206 trades$1,68542 min
6/20/2026, 2:32:20 PM22 trades$1,6806 min
6/10/2026, 11:15:58 AM213 trades$1,61567 min
4/5/2026, 5:43:07 PM350 trades$1,48749 min
4/6/2026, 3:56:01 AM123 trades$1,46829 min
5/7/2026, 6:18:43 PM95 trades$1,45241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-14
05-04
05-24
06-13
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.5 / M18.2 / H22.3