
@hl.contrariandog
#2,796,41080x0ab38b65301796e58e237644debe45069298b750
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
19% (5/26)0/20
0.64x (win $644 / loss $1,004)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1120/15
Sortino -4.6420/10
$-0.1540 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 979 (26 markets)7.6/10
4/19 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 195% of peak ($741 / $381)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,412,511$-60Vol: $56,277
💰 FINANCE#635,572$-114Vol: $53,924
💻 TECH#238,239$-24Vol: $13,948
📢 MENTIONS#162,506$-87Vol: $3,877
⚽ SPORTS#1,572,053$-43Vol: $187
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-327
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,213
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
733B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d
Periods
#2Week
$-1
Vol: $2,003
Month
$-1
Vol: $2,003
All Time
$-327
Vol: $128,213
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
19%
5W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-327
Win Rate
19%
5W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-59
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $629 (1.922691591068756% of PnL)
Top Winners
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$552
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?$57
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$20
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?$9
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?$5
Top Losers
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$-273
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-106
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-106
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?$-92
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?$-85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-74
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-69
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$-64
No airdrop in 2025?$-51
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-35
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.159
Sortino
-0.264
HHI
1180
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
68.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 644s — normal for humanCV 5.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
44.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)92.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)1.1%
Sessions
#1212/2/2025, 10:39:31 PM1 trades$3520 min
7/16/2026, 8:54:04 PM10 trades$3340 min
1/20/2026, 8:59:48 PM1 trades$2890 min
1/19/2026, 8:21:50 PM2 trades$2334 min
12/3/2025, 2:51:11 AM32 trades$19752 min
12/4/2025, 5:11:01 PM3 trades$1722 min
7/11/2026, 9:09:31 PM2 trades$1500 min
12/19/2025, 4:17:31 PM1 trades$1340 min
12/10/2025, 7:23:08 AM1 trades$1100 min
1/22/2026, 9:58:54 AM3 trades$1020 min
1/22/2026, 7:13:00 AM2 trades$960 min
12/17/2025, 7:21:49 PM1 trades$760 min
12/2/2025, 7:21:37 PM2 trades$721 min
12/20/2025, 2:08:02 PM2 trades$670 min
1/26/2026, 8:42:39 PM2 trades$631 min
6/17/2026, 12:48:52 AM16 trades$610 min
12/10/2025, 9:00:22 PM7 trades$558 min
12/12/2025, 11:28:50 PM1 trades$520 min
1/24/2026, 12:37:48 AM2 trades$480 min
1/26/2026, 4:26:54 AM2 trades$470 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
12-19
12-24
01-19
02-25
06-17
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 218 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.5 / M6.4 / H1.1