@KaiWinters

#180,05026

0x1a00d83bbbc5703b69901bccc1707eca53e5d550

~32d· 23 markets · 239 tradesVol: $35,8452026-08-06 07:55:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (7/12)14.2/20
0.52x (win $820 / loss $1,570)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7150/15
Sortino -4.9260/10
$-0.0744 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1264 (12 markets)6.2/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,513 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+186
DCA Master
Avg 16.4 entries/market

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#13,530$209Vol: $11,891
📈 ECONOMICS#653,376$-65Vol: $10,390
⚽ SPORTS#218,055$24Vol: $6,368
💰 FINANCE#31,270$35Vol: $2,960
🏛️ POLITICS#1,123,969$-4Vol: $1,948
₿ CRYPTO#1,162,356$-11Vol: $1,643
🌤️ WEATHER#186,376$-1Vol: $646

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$186
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,845
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
77B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$186
Vol: $35,845

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
7W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$186
Win Rate
58%
7W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$117
Avg Loss
$-392

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $504 (2.7079146741174576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$195
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$164
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$145
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$137
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$122
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?$18

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-659
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-519
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$-272
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-120

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.235
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
614
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
43%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12408s — normal for humanCV 0.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)70.1%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 11:25:08 AM16 trades$3,0110 min
5/9/2026, 5:47:29 AM14 trades$1,3150 min
5/17/2026, 2:42:04 AM2 trades$6500 min
5/18/2026, 4:36:51 PM2 trades$6500 min
5/16/2026, 4:54:31 AM2 trades$6080 min
5/14/2026, 5:25:15 AM2 trades$6000 min
5/13/2026, 3:12:04 PM2 trades$5940 min
7/20/2026, 8:44:27 PM3 trades$5370 min
5/14/2026, 4:10:53 PM12 trades$5180 min
5/7/2026, 4:06:51 PM13 trades$4980 min
5/13/2026, 7:10:06 AM3 trades$4950 min
5/17/2026, 2:33:27 AM5 trades$4890 min
5/16/2026, 11:06:04 AM8 trades$4680 min
5/7/2026, 12:39:09 PM6 trades$4461 min
5/6/2026, 4:50:49 PM6 trades$4110 min
5/15/2026, 1:40:49 PM2 trades$4100 min
5/8/2026, 9:17:17 AM5 trades$3950 min
5/19/2026, 4:25:23 PM2 trades$3360 min
5/22/2026, 7:13:27 AM2 trades$3360 min
6/11/2026, 4:09:15 PM12 trades$3310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-07
05-09
05-12
05-16
05-17
05-20
05-22
05-23
06-09
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.4 / M6.5 / H70.1