@Arthurf

#2,115,26831

0x1f74bcceeffb13ad12de0afde3633e7cfc63372e

~21d· 44 markets · 153 tradesVol: $16,9152026-08-06 06:22:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (23/37)16.1/20
0.79x (win $85 / loss $109)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0420/15
Sortino -1.2670/10
$-0.0017 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1046 (37 markets)7.3/10
13/21 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 159% of peak ($63 / $39)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
13/21 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,134,075$-5Vol: $9,373
💻 TECH#196,847$-1Vol: $2,784
🎭 CULTURE#517,840$-1Vol: $1,976
SPORTS#1,568,779$-42Vol: $1,915
📈 ECONOMICS#390,176$-0Vol: $418
CRYPTO#218,173$12Vol: $296
💰 FINANCE#365,257$-0Vol: $117

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,915
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
69B / 84S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-22
Vol: $16,915

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
23W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
62%
23W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (3.1140271493212666% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$12
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$4
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$4
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$3
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0
Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on July 1?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$0

Top Losers

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-63
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-44
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-0
Will Cian Uijtdebroeks win the Tour de France 2025?$-0
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$-0
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?$-0
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
449
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
45.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
13s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.8m
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13s — suspiciously fastCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 7:59:17 AM25 trades$4,5644 min
6/18/2026, 3:41:56 AM25 trades$4,0633 min
6/22/2026, 3:03:43 AM35 trades$3,8403 min
5/27/2025, 6:16:35 AM7 trades$1,0293 min
5/22/2025, 11:55:47 PM6 trades$8461 min
5/12/2025, 1:50:32 AM6 trades$6111 min
6/17/2026, 11:26:38 AM7 trades$1090 min
2/4/2026, 7:14:38 AM3 trades$601 min
5/12/2026, 8:35:06 AM6 trades$582 min
7/15/2026, 6:21:10 AM2 trades$580 min
6/11/2026, 3:21:37 AM4 trades$540 min
1/26/2026, 12:49:07 PM3 trades$510 min
7/21/2025, 11:54:54 AM4 trades$401 min
12/10/2025, 2:51:10 AM2 trades$400 min
6/11/2026, 11:09:27 AM2 trades$340 min
11/27/2025, 2:20:59 AM3 trades$302 min
5/11/2026, 11:55:55 AM2 trades$250 min
7/16/2025, 3:04:24 AM3 trades$191 min
3/10/2026, 2:27:29 AM2 trades$190 min
8/27/2025, 7:30:33 AM2 trades$131 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
07-16
08-27
12-26
03-10
06-11
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.4 / H98.6