@GRALLIX

#2,611,15314

0x213f7a1e9352b970f06a83e761d1427c99a0160c

~35d· 53 markets · 308 tradesVol: $8,057 @MaevMav2026-08-06 06:24:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (16/38)6.1/20
0.39x (win $795 / loss $2,018)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9580/15
Sortino -3.9750/10
$-0.4046 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1227 (38 markets)6.4/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 334% of peak ($1,746 / $523)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,533,585$-115Vol: $3,825
CRYPTO#1,345,887$-35Vol: $2,729
📈 ECONOMICS#19,648$43Vol: $709
💰 FINANCE#564,046$-8Vol: $393
🌤️ WEATHER#231,127$-5Vol: $341

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-121
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,057
Total Redeem
$86
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
155B / 153S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $148
Week
$-1
Vol: $433
Month
$-7
Vol: $433
All Time
$-121
Vol: $8,057

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
16W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-121
Win Rate
42%
16W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-112

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $428 (3.521001482457585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by May 15?$161
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$139
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$127
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$65
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$64
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$51
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$17

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,458
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-90
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-82
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$-48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-45
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$-42
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$-29
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-26
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
1721
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.315
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.3%
Top-5 markets
73.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2246s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)59.4%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 6:03:25 AM8 trades$7110 min
5/22/2026, 12:35:32 PM11 trades$6270 min
4/17/2026, 6:37:14 PM23 trades$5151 min
4/30/2026, 12:04:22 AM10 trades$4602 min
7/31/2026, 6:06:20 AM17 trades$3830 min
8/5/2026, 5:28:47 PM5 trades$2530 min
5/5/2026, 7:44:56 PM7 trades$2461 min
4/14/2026, 7:10:20 PM2 trades$2400 min
5/16/2026, 4:09:02 PM8 trades$2280 min
4/12/2026, 9:47:19 PM4 trades$1200 min
5/1/2026, 7:16:26 PM9 trades$1191 min
4/14/2026, 6:51:28 PM6 trades$1182 min
4/22/2026, 11:08:56 AM4 trades$1160 min
7/29/2026, 6:51:11 AM4 trades$1132 min
5/1/2026, 10:53:28 AM9 trades$1123 min
4/17/2026, 4:28:38 PM6 trades$1090 min
4/17/2026, 7:06:52 PM9 trades$1080 min
5/11/2026, 6:29:38 AM2 trades$990 min
4/21/2026, 10:01:58 PM5 trades$990 min
8/5/2026, 1:18:18 PM2 trades$990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-14
04-21
04-30
05-11
05-13
05-17
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.8 / M23.9 / H59.4