@Lacedcron

#2,986,2033

0x2aeae5c9db6066b63e03907b34b1dfb1045d518f

~62d· 62 markets · 268 tradesVol: $273,5232026-08-06 06:15:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (13/60)0/20
0.16x (win $369 / loss $2,347)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1960/15
Sortino -8.4920/10
$-0.5898 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1893 (60 markets)3/10
11/46 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,978 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,638,995$-1,552Vol: $225,522
⚽ SPORTS#1,672,962$-97Vol: $43,188
📈 ECONOMICS#663,004$-117Vol: $4,182
🏛️ POLITICS#174,685$9Vol: $631

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$273,523
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
137B / 131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Week
$-16
Vol: $4,815
Month
$-25
Vol: $5,903
All Time
$-1,757
Vol: $273,523

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
13W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-1,757
Win Rate
22%
13W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $267 (0.15188720593341418% of PnL)

Top Winners

49ers vs. Rams$113
49ers vs. Eagles$89
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$65
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$16
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$9
Rams vs. Panthers$9

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$-500
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$-160
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$-160
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$-120
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$-100
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$-100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-95
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$-89
Will Solana reach $300 in November?$-60
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.476
Sortino
-0.463
HHI
1325
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.575
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
57.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)2.2%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 4:37:05 PM46 trades$15,7793 min
5/2/2026, 5:53:00 PM15 trades$12,1271 min
4/4/2026, 6:27:47 PM14 trades$5,5670 min
4/4/2026, 6:59:19 PM12 trades$4,0000 min
6/10/2026, 6:18:22 PM24 trades$1,5410 min
12/29/2025, 5:08:59 AM1 trades$9520 min
1/2/2026, 12:37:33 AM2 trades$4000 min
11/1/2025, 5:51:59 PM3 trades$3002 min
9/21/2025, 5:50:18 PM3 trades$2534 min
5/13/2026, 1:01:01 AM2 trades$2080 min
8/4/2026, 3:18:35 PM8 trades$1590 min
10/2/2025, 11:33:43 PM1 trades$1430 min
4/12/2026, 9:24:45 PM4 trades$1360 min
1/12/2026, 2:16:48 AM1 trades$1290 min
10/31/2025, 9:58:37 PM1 trades$1200 min
1/4/2026, 4:46:49 PM1 trades$1000 min
9/10/2025, 2:45:36 PM3 trades$901 min
4/12/2026, 8:11:43 PM4 trades$831 min
12/5/2025, 2:08:03 AM4 trades$804 min
11/22/2025, 5:12:23 PM3 trades$760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
10-17
11-05
12-06
01-11
03-12
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81 / M16.8 / H2.2