TheNoobBeaver

@TheNoobBeaver

#16,00256

0x2bcd792138a4e184f791b05d9c5c70e3c8f7cbfb

~998d· 2162 markets · 9502 tradesVol: $773,244 @Polynoob_2026-08-06 07:17:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (1036/2088)9.8/20
1.16x (win $61,252 / loss $52,716)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.17815/15
Sortino 1.90010/10
$+0.0423 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 44 (2088 markets)10/10
246/500 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($8,243 / $9,949)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+9,131
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Whale
$201,781 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#5,408$6,319Vol: $276,030
🎭 CULTURE#808,687$-686Vol: $214,288
💰 FINANCE#646,937$-316Vol: $42,066
CRYPTO#1,607,804$-722Vol: $39,353
📈 ECONOMICS#4,602$521Vol: $30,572
📢 MENTIONS#3,536$251Vol: $27,646
SPORTS#1,788,877$-417Vol: $26,380
💻 TECH#874$1,938Vol: $26,113
🌤️ WEATHER#1,805$860Vol: $23,591

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$773,244
Total Redeem
$1,053
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2162
total markets
Trades
6763B / 2739S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~998d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$146
Vol: $1,841
Month
$117
Vol: $2,606
All Time
$9,123
Vol: $773,244

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
1036W / 1052L events
Realized PnL
$9,131
Win Rate
50%
1036W / 1052L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,246 (0.5744731415254173% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$1,934
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,656
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1,655
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1,513
1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?$1,081
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$1,024
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?$1,011
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$920
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$824
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$817

Top Losers

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,331
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-1,225
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-1,211
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$-946
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$-939
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-723
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-674
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$-636
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-616
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend?$-597

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.062
Sortino
0.083
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1082s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.3%
Mid (20-55c)34.6%
High (>55c)45.1%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 10:02:08 PM3 trades$3,3930 min
9/9/2025, 5:42:18 PM5 trades$3,2462 min
4/29/2025, 3:35:26 AM1 trades$3,1950 min
6/19/2026, 9:05:56 PM2 trades$2,8220 min
12/20/2025, 8:52:22 AM1 trades$2,8210 min
4/24/2026, 5:27:26 PM13 trades$2,3271 min
10/8/2025, 7:57:56 PM3 trades$1,8123 min
5/7/2026, 8:41:50 PM4 trades$1,6871 min
4/18/2025, 11:29:46 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
7/9/2026, 4:52:02 PM12 trades$1,4261 min
6/19/2026, 7:50:34 AM15 trades$1,3801 min
3/31/2026, 5:14:39 PM16 trades$1,3406 min
6/8/2026, 6:40:12 PM4 trades$1,2740 min
7/29/2025, 8:28:17 PM1 trades$1,2050 min
9/30/2025, 3:20:45 PM2 trades$1,1910 min
6/30/2026, 8:27:19 AM4 trades$1,1600 min
7/13/2026, 6:10:16 PM4 trades$1,1565 min
2/16/2025, 10:17:37 AM3 trades$1,1133 min
12/23/2025, 3:57:19 PM2 trades$1,1030 min
7/23/2026, 6:58:31 AM5 trades$1,0600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-29
03-12
06-19
09-28
01-13
04-19
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 192 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.3 / M34.6 / H45.1