@0x2df6…fbe2

21

0x2df62180e5ca8c461eccfebdde52babad237fbe2

~26d· 86 markets · 304 trades2026-08-06 07:55:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (29/57)10.4/20
0.32x (win $172 / loss $537)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.4440/15
Sortino -8.6780/10
$-0.1209 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 401 (57 markets)10/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($389 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-317
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,016
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
240B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
28W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-317
Win Rate
50%
28W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56 (0.17768308080808082% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$21
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?$19
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner$17
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner$17
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?$12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$12
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$7
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs$6

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?$-141
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 14?$-108
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$-51
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$-27
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?$-24
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-22
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$-18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$-15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.479
Sortino
-0.492
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.227
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 561s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)76.2%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 8:08:43 AM2 trades$2682 min
3/16/2026, 3:58:45 PM6 trades$1548 min
3/14/2026, 5:26:05 PM5 trades$1410 min
3/12/2026, 10:48:15 AM4 trades$1393 min
7/29/2026, 12:24:41 PM4 trades$1142 min
3/13/2026, 5:41:55 PM1 trades$1080 min
8/3/2026, 8:31:26 AM7 trades$1033 min
7/23/2026, 11:47:06 AM3 trades$860 min
6/18/2026, 7:13:59 PM2 trades$770 min
3/16/2026, 5:01:21 PM4 trades$693 min
3/10/2026, 11:44:31 AM6 trades$617 min
8/2/2026, 8:04:03 AM6 trades$601 min
7/23/2026, 9:25:18 AM1 trades$570 min
7/26/2026, 7:16:40 AM6 trades$570 min
8/4/2026, 8:20:27 AM6 trades$560 min
7/22/2026, 6:40:55 AM2 trades$540 min
7/26/2026, 6:27:46 PM7 trades$521 min
3/16/2026, 3:03:33 PM6 trades$5111 min
3/10/2026, 11:58:37 AM1 trades$500 min
6/18/2026, 7:51:26 AM2 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-11
03-13
03-16
03-18
07-18
08-01
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M20.4 / H76.2