@freezingmoon

#2,129,57171

0x31fc1e8cc415dd92b7c94b0b1dd09ff82fe26f71

~20d· 48 markets · 153 tradesVol: $2,2962026-08-06 07:10:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (37/46)20/20
1.23x (win $81 / loss $66)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.23615/15
Sortino 2.81210/10
$+0.0108 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 294 (46 markets)10/10
16/19 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($31 / $24)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Consistent
16/19 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,329,214$-31Vol: $1,191
💰 FINANCE#59,220$9Vol: $618
🏛️ POLITICS#241,502$4Vol: $372
💻 TECH#221,599$-7Vol: $71
📈 ECONOMICS#82,206$2Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#126,646$0Vol: $11
⚽ SPORTS#564,033$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,296
Total Redeem
$356
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
66B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23
Vol: $2,296

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
37W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
80%
37W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (1.4300518134715028% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET$12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET$7
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$4
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$4
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?$3
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET$2
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$2

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET$-22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET$-19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.299
HHI
307
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
23.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7014s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)92.4%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 7:59:44 PM3 trades$1400 min
5/4/2026, 11:52:26 AM4 trades$740 min
5/5/2026, 12:45:22 PM2 trades$710 min
5/6/2026, 6:57:24 AM3 trades$680 min
5/6/2026, 11:54:08 AM3 trades$640 min
5/3/2026, 7:57:18 PM2 trades$640 min
4/25/2026, 3:35:58 PM2 trades$630 min
4/24/2026, 7:22:22 PM2 trades$630 min
5/8/2026, 8:54:11 AM2 trades$580 min
5/8/2026, 6:56:57 AM2 trades$570 min
5/8/2026, 10:53:46 AM3 trades$474 min
5/11/2026, 8:33:47 PM4 trades$431 min
6/23/2026, 1:20:35 PM2 trades$410 min
5/10/2026, 10:59:35 AM4 trades$390 min
6/9/2026, 5:18:09 PM6 trades$392 min
5/11/2026, 8:40:10 PM4 trades$361 min
5/10/2026, 6:59:31 AM5 trades$340 min
5/6/2026, 2:07:52 PM5 trades$343 min
5/8/2026, 9:56:27 AM6 trades$340 min
5/9/2026, 5:57:54 PM2 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-02
05-05
05-08
05-11
06-09
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M6.1 / H92.4