@adammilan

#2,909,3977

0x3287c3dc2066ebaba578d0ddd322469859177058

~45d· 92 markets · 662 tradesVol: $85,9572026-08-06 06:09:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (10/83)0/20
0.33x (win $3,080 / loss $9,430)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1530/15
Sortino -8.5690/10
$-0.7901 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1007 (83 markets)7.5/10
6/29 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($6,647 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,598,562$-507Vol: $63,002
🎭 CULTURE#803,307$-374Vol: $12,802
📈 ECONOMICS#655,000$-73Vol: $3,925
💰 FINANCE#643,885$-224Vol: $2,801
SPORTS#1,111,699$-3Vol: $1,966
📢 MENTIONS#6,274$94Vol: $848
CRYPTO#58,741$250Vol: $602
💻 TECH#195,162$-1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-839
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,957
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
240B / 422S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $429
Month
$-8
Vol: $534
All Time
$-839
Vol: $85,957

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
10W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-839
Win Rate
12%
10W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$308
Avg Loss
$-143

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,490 (1.7762646378401583% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$548
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$507
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$434
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$383
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$325
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$240
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$183
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?$171
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$157
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$132

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-1,525
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-1,306
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-819
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$-462
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-412
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-400
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-373
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-360
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-264
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-260

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.471
Sortino
-0.496
HHI
698
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.715
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
49.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 496s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.6%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)12.1%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 11:20:26 AM4 trades$6,0000 min
5/4/2026, 4:55:20 AM22 trades$2,9125 min
5/2/2026, 9:27:46 PM8 trades$2,7882 min
4/23/2026, 7:36:06 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
7/1/2026, 7:49:29 AM41 trades$1,4940 min
5/18/2026, 7:48:57 PM2 trades$1,4290 min
6/8/2026, 11:24:37 AM12 trades$1,2902 min
5/15/2026, 7:58:34 AM11 trades$1,2450 min
4/29/2026, 2:05:14 PM18 trades$1,1405 min
4/23/2026, 11:20:56 AM7 trades$1,0890 min
5/29/2026, 10:30:47 AM7 trades$1,0330 min
4/24/2026, 2:05:00 PM5 trades$1,0112 min
4/29/2026, 11:45:56 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/26/2026, 4:30:37 AM4 trades$1,0000 min
5/26/2026, 4:40:08 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/24/2026, 11:39:24 AM23 trades$9511 min
5/13/2026, 6:29:49 PM2 trades$8570 min
5/3/2026, 12:31:12 PM14 trades$8562 min
6/23/2026, 7:17:32 PM18 trades$8083 min
4/23/2026, 8:04:54 PM2 trades$8000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-24
04-28
05-02
05-06
05-21
05-30
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.6 / M28.3 / H12.1