@osprey49621
#3,068,817220x347187ca9b3d1b099ea08a58d9710252e9bea9d4
~44d· 51 markets · 1185 tradesVol: $650,3312026-08-06 06:10:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (18/42)6.4/20
0.32x (win $25,598 / loss $79,420)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5230/15
Sortino -3.4830/10
$-0.3041 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 614 (42 markets)9.4/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 730% of peak ($63,720 / $8,728)0/10
Badges
2Whale
$176,997 invested
High Roller
$1,735/day
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,270$-15,732Vol: $328,268
⚽ SPORTS#1,752,251$-233Vol: $273,405
📈 ECONOMICS#681,886$-2,870Vol: $32,617
💰 FINANCE#651,639$-581Vol: $11,204
₿ CRYPTO#1,337,388$-33Vol: $4,838
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-19,450
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$650,331
Total Redeem
$803
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
265B / 920S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19,450
Vol: $650,331
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
18W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-19,450
Win Rate
43%
18W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$1,422
Avg Loss
$-4,412
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,989 (0.9248975197544075% of PnL)
Top Winners
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$9,311
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,707
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3,972
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1,406
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,401
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$969
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$922
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$773
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$403
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$387
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-53,590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-9,295
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$-8,137
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-2,000
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-1,881
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,128
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-642
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-636
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-468
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$-352
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.118
HHI
1020
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.246
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.1%
Top-5 markets
59.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule12 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)58.5%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 1:05:22 AM119 trades$21,7974 min
4/23/2026, 11:47:22 PM69 trades$17,70210 min
6/14/2026, 2:32:04 AM44 trades$16,0355 min
5/5/2026, 4:53:56 PM28 trades$14,7238 min
6/1/2026, 4:03:26 AM8 trades$14,6772 min
6/15/2026, 2:40:22 AM13 trades$11,7341 min
4/17/2026, 12:52:56 AM80 trades$11,57912 min
4/24/2026, 9:01:32 PM48 trades$10,3471 min
5/27/2026, 6:18:10 PM16 trades$9,8400 min
6/18/2026, 10:52:44 PM2 trades$9,2950 min
6/10/2026, 12:55:22 AM36 trades$9,25412 min
5/15/2026, 9:29:30 PM6 trades$8,7430 min
6/6/2026, 3:43:16 PM4 trades$8,6233 min
6/18/2026, 5:40:08 PM28 trades$8,5741 min
6/4/2026, 5:19:16 PM13 trades$8,4484 min
4/24/2026, 9:19:24 PM42 trades$8,0072 min
5/15/2026, 9:23:54 PM6 trades$7,9510 min
6/19/2026, 7:45:28 PM19 trades$7,4220 min
5/17/2026, 2:04:25 PM6 trades$6,2460 min
5/24/2026, 7:26:30 PM52 trades$5,6785 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
04-29
05-24
06-01
06-06
06-15
06-19
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M20 / H58.5