@butterflysociety
#5,284620x35c8700bdf3529179d4692b2b7ddb92fe45990cb
~96d· 192 markets · 1104 tradesVol: $684,9222026-08-06 05:42:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (87/190)7.9/20
1.28x (win $154,175 / loss $120,621)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.65015/15
Sortino 3.36910/10
$+0.1874 per $1 invested9.4/10
HHI 136 (190 markets)10/10
41/91 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($31,584 / $34,594)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+31,963
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$179,015 invested
High Roller
$1,023/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,965$31,963Vol: $684,922
Overview
#1Net PnL
$31,963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$684,922
Total Redeem
$9,039
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
385B / 719S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d
Periods
#2Today
$2,171
Vol: $0
Week
$564
Vol: $14,458
Month
$3,656
Vol: $19,337
All Time
$31,963
Vol: $684,922
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
87W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$31,963
Win Rate
46%
87W / 103L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$1,772
Avg Loss
$-1,244
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31,706 (0.9919762748527894% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$14,759
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$8,782
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$8,166
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$8,120
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$6,530
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$6,137
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$5,408
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5,150
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?$4,867
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$4,781
Top Losers
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$-7,120
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?$-6,495
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$-6,012
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?$-5,845
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$-4,768
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$-4,200
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$-4,120
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$-3,704
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?$-2,974
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?$-2,710
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.171
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.186
Kelly %
0.8%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
12.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
54.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3272s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)51.7%
High (>55c)35.1%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 4:08:01 PM10 trades$18,8755 min
7/5/2026, 7:19:29 PM10 trades$16,3960 min
7/3/2026, 4:00:40 PM18 trades$9,7060 min
6/22/2026, 11:17:23 PM12 trades$6,44310 min
5/13/2026, 7:41:33 PM5 trades$6,3680 min
7/11/2026, 10:27:05 PM11 trades$6,2764 min
5/11/2026, 9:04:22 PM9 trades$5,9560 min
5/17/2026, 12:08:08 PM4 trades$5,2271 min
8/1/2026, 9:53:21 PM16 trades$4,8835 min
5/9/2026, 7:00:56 PM2 trades$4,8680 min
4/4/2026, 3:26:57 AM32 trades$4,4233 min
6/21/2026, 9:51:52 PM4 trades$4,3831 min
4/2/2026, 2:55:51 AM3 trades$4,3460 min
6/24/2026, 5:37:47 AM15 trades$4,2563 min
6/27/2026, 11:14:41 PM2 trades$4,2550 min
6/24/2026, 1:08:17 AM4 trades$4,1602 min
5/5/2026, 8:59:08 PM17 trades$4,0624 min
7/26/2026, 9:32:36 PM9 trades$3,9792 min
6/13/2026, 11:41:22 PM4 trades$3,5811 min
4/11/2026, 3:30:03 AM8 trades$3,5680 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
03-14
03-29
04-16
05-09
06-23
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 60 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.2 / M51.7 / H35.1