@0x49df…d594
190x49df61087f93a198e40e117a072ffe6ab2a9d594
~56d· 465 markets · 2363 trades2026-08-06 07:56:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (189/449)6/20
0.91x (win $1,181 / loss $1,291)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7130/15
Sortino -1.2540/10
$-0.0195 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 473 (449 markets)10/10
20/53 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($440 / $315)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,663
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
465
total markets
Trades
1845B / 518S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
189W / 260L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
42%
189W / 260L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $547 (5.467019788127123% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$324
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$127
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$89
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 4?$16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 3?$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 9?$14
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$-108
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 3?$-65
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-31
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$-18
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.037
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
389
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
29.3%
Half-Kelly
14.7%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
37.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.7m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.7
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)50.7%
High (>55c)34.8%
Sessions
#125/24/2026, 7:13:06 AM2 trades$1,1490 min
1/18/2026, 11:00:40 PM96 trades$8727 min
1/19/2026, 12:01:28 AM65 trades$68915 min
1/18/2026, 10:06:28 PM64 trades$45024 min
1/18/2026, 11:15:18 PM43 trades$4419 min
1/19/2026, 2:21:24 AM99 trades$41623 min
1/20/2026, 1:17:08 AM72 trades$39920 min
1/20/2026, 7:00:32 PM166 trades$38646 min
1/18/2026, 10:37:06 PM41 trades$3616 min
1/23/2026, 12:03:00 AM118 trades$27047 min
5/11/2026, 8:15:42 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/18/2025, 10:56:55 PM4 trades$1534 min
1/19/2026, 2:00:10 AM24 trades$1478 min
1/19/2026, 7:14:00 PM25 trades$1464 min
1/20/2026, 3:12:24 AM58 trades$13826 min
12/16/2025, 5:41:47 AM1 trades$1080 min
12/17/2025, 4:18:10 PM6 trades$914 min
1/18/2026, 5:26:00 PM14 trades$907 min
1/22/2026, 2:03:10 AM27 trades$8716 min
1/20/2026, 1:45:30 AM27 trades$869 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-03
12-12
01-05
05-10
07-22
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 236 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.5 / M50.7 / H34.8