@rolandorneh

#171,70563

0x4d83a7f7d7b564d35cdafda1044cca2f60f93ac7

~27d· 34 markets · 70 tradesVol: $15,4202026-08-06 07:56:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (9/26)2.3/20
4.28x (win $357 / loss $83)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.63615/15
Sortino 26.30710/10
$+0.0255 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 1249 (26 markets)6.3/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($37 / $305)10/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+207
Cool Head
Max DD 12%

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,411,417$-28Vol: $9,262
⚽ SPORTS#81,793$235Vol: $5,112
🎭 CULTURE#535,524$-1Vol: $1,033
₿ CRYPTO#699,299$-0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$207
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,420
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
42B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$207
Vol: $15,420

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
9W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$207
Win Rate
35%
9W / 17L
Profit Factor
4.28x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $297 (1.4377026176997145% of PnL)

Top Winners

Notre Dame vs. Penn State$100
Panthers vs. Avalanche$99
Thunder vs. Cavaliers$98
Yankees vs. Twins$16
Capitals vs. Hurricanes$14
Padres vs. Mets$12
Clemson vs. Louisville$12
Buccaneers vs. Texans$6
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0

Top Losers

Nationals vs. Braves$-30
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-21
Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets$-11
Knicks vs. Heat$-10
Magic vs. Pistons$-7
Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?$-2
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$-1
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.339
Sortino
1.139
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.456
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 757s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.31
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 10:19:28 PM6 trades$2,0403 min
6/24/2026, 7:33:58 AM6 trades$2,0371 min
6/25/2026, 6:22:08 AM6 trades$2,0335 min
6/25/2026, 1:50:08 PM8 trades$1,2750 min
6/22/2026, 9:22:23 PM2 trades$1,0200 min
6/25/2026, 9:05:47 AM4 trades$1,0161 min
6/25/2026, 9:18:59 AM4 trades$1,0081 min
1/7/2025, 7:30:15 PM1 trades$1300 min
6/25/2026, 1:58:49 PM2 trades$1240 min
1/6/2025, 1:46:07 AM2 trades$1184 min
1/8/2025, 7:00:29 PM1 trades$1080 min
9/22/2025, 11:13:20 AM1 trades$300 min
9/17/2025, 1:33:04 PM1 trades$240 min
10/1/2024, 7:16:18 AM1 trades$210 min
9/16/2025, 10:17:04 AM1 trades$130 min
11/17/2025, 9:50:05 AM1 trades$110 min
5/19/2025, 6:22:59 AM2 trades$101 min
11/11/2025, 12:28:02 PM1 trades$100 min
11/14/2025, 12:49:04 PM1 trades$100 min
11/17/2025, 9:55:21 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
01-08
05-08
05-19
07-25
09-17
11-11
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M23.8 / H66.7