@Xav

#3,055,92521

0x5bbdda8c2447fd63f0e8dc8a3712352fc81b9ec2

~375d· 245 markets · 6288 tradesVol: $11,703,2232026-08-06 06:08:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (139/243)13.6/20
0.69x (win $180,289 / loss $260,130)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2930/15
Sortino -1.4260/10
$-0.0275 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3001 (243 markets)0/10
90/153 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 234% of peak ($141,061 / $60,284)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 26.2 entries/market
Whale
$2,898,589 invested
High Roller
$2,422/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,749$-79,888Vol: $10,767,614
SPORTS#1,875,626$-6,861Vol: $254,633
📢 MENTIONS#177,156$-29,858Vol: $244,314
🎭 CULTURE#908$9,044Vol: $48,643
📈 ECONOMICS#7,328$247Vol: $25,438
🌤️ WEATHER#3,278$365Vol: $17,826
CRYPTO#110,380$73Vol: $8,066
💰 FINANCE#21,082$76Vol: $2,030

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,710
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,703,223
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
245
total markets
Trades
3548B / 2740S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~375d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
139W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$-7,710
Win Rate
57%
139W / 104L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$1,297
Avg Loss
$-2,601

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55,557 (7.205539574130324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$28,504
Will Mbappé leave PSG?$15,596
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$11,458
Will Mbappé join a Saudi club this transfer window?$9,442
Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?$7,666
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$6,088
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$5,355
Biden drops out of presidential race?$5,232
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,040
Trump wins every swing state?$4,850

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-58,308
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-20,771
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$-11,661
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-10,544
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during the X space?$-9,863
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$-8,771
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?$-8,653
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon?$-8,410
Will Trump say "cat" during his Nevada rally?$-7,456
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$-7,314

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.067
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
2515
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
33.3%
Half-Kelly
16.6%
Top-1 market
47.5%
Top-5 markets
69.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 5.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)64.3%
High (>55c)25.1%

Sessions

#12
9/4/2024, 7:33:56 PM2 trades$132,9040 min
9/11/2024, 7:30:07 PM3 trades$131,9594 min
9/6/2024, 4:49:54 PM1 trades$131,7120 min
8/4/2024, 5:02:25 PM10 trades$123,24511 min
11/1/2024, 12:18:06 PM841 trades$106,11214 min
7/31/2024, 3:51:53 PM58 trades$95,11530 min
9/11/2024, 9:57:29 PM3 trades$94,0038 min
10/31/2024, 11:21:18 PM1 trades$93,1320 min
9/14/2024, 1:30:43 AM1 trades$89,7400 min
8/14/2024, 11:14:41 AM2 trades$87,6193 min
10/31/2024, 12:50:44 PM4 trades$86,7243 min
9/15/2024, 7:23:20 PM3 trades$86,3843 min
8/5/2024, 2:19:17 AM3 trades$79,4024 min
10/31/2024, 1:03:00 PM26 trades$72,3177 min
11/1/2024, 9:33:30 AM3 trades$66,3816 min
9/22/2024, 1:44:58 PM2 trades$58,0231 min
9/5/2024, 1:49:07 AM2 trades$57,8783 min
8/1/2024, 5:03:10 PM9 trades$57,5243 min
9/18/2024, 6:16:40 PM1 trades$55,4570 min
10/23/2024, 5:46:35 PM2 trades$55,3950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
08-30
12-20
07-31
10-02
07-09
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 647 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.25/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.7 / M64.3 / H25.1