@lx_arcstar

#97,21017

0x610d7b5b6d0bd3c0220b98547eca6be06dfd188b

~190d· 353 markets · 1595 tradesVol: $723,1372026-08-06 06:08:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (128/352)3.2/20
0.97x (win $24,004 / loss $24,730)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1570/15
Sortino -0.2490/10
$-0.0156 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 254 (352 markets)10/10
53/144 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 110% of peak ($8,051 / $7,306)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+718
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,610,695$-785Vol: $442,418
⚽ SPORTS#38,219$1,000Vol: $200,844
💰 FINANCE#657,570$-3,016Vol: $57,956
🏛️ POLITICS#8,079$3,487Vol: $15,917
📈 ECONOMICS#21,394$36Vol: $5,870
🎭 CULTURE#635,522$-4Vol: $132

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$718
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$723,137
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
353
total markets
Trades
1420B / 175S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d

Periods

#2
Month
$-37
Vol: $0
All Time
$718
Vol: $723,137

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
128W / 224L events
Realized PnL
$718
Win Rate
36%
128W / 224L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$188
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,096 (11.278123737479277% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$3,533
Will $BTC reach 70k in July?$2,834
$BTC dips below $50k before September?$1,728
Solana above $180 on August 2?$1,516
Pacers vs. Thunder$1,185
Nets vs. Bucks$1,154
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on May 30?$977
Will $BTC reach 70k before September?$842
Thunder vs. Pacers$557
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?$510

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$-2,892
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-2,156
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?$-1,228
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,063
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-866
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on May 23?$-800
Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?$-647
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?$-624
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? $-493
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on May 27?$-448

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.008
Sortino
-0.012
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
27.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.5%
Mid (20-55c)29.5%
High (>55c)5%

Sessions

#12
11/11/2024, 10:25:39 PM1 trades$4,4600 min
7/17/2026, 4:55:15 PM11 trades$2,3480 min
1/29/2025, 6:37:31 PM7 trades$2,3128 min
8/5/2024, 6:08:26 AM1 trades$2,2350 min
8/1/2024, 4:53:20 AM1 trades$2,1920 min
1/3/2025, 2:49:46 AM11 trades$1,65813 min
9/19/2024, 2:06:21 PM1 trades$1,6380 min
8/9/2024, 7:58:21 AM3 trades$1,6091 min
5/17/2025, 2:36:11 PM4 trades$1,4990 min
7/29/2026, 11:51:53 AM2 trades$1,4170 min
5/8/2025, 3:48:32 PM5 trades$1,37711 min
9/10/2024, 11:35:09 AM4 trades$1,3455 min
4/24/2026, 12:56:32 PM7 trades$1,0626 min
9/4/2024, 1:49:45 AM4 trades$9114 min
10/6/2024, 9:59:12 AM1 trades$8610 min
8/6/2024, 2:15:48 PM1 trades$8320 min
6/20/2025, 12:26:22 PM1 trades$8100 min
5/9/2025, 2:36:25 PM3 trades$7814 min
7/29/2024, 3:56:27 PM1 trades$7710 min
9/19/2024, 2:16:09 PM1 trades$7250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
08-09
11-07
01-11
04-25
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 572 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.5 / M29.5 / H5