@asymptoticnormality

#89,75293

0x66d14ad58b6c7f8c84c03201129a273f0c51b9ff

~48d· 55 markets · 369 tradesVol: $22,0662026-08-06 06:16:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (40/47)20/20
3.23x (win $2,109 / loss $652)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.28915/15
Sortino 14.68110/10
$+0.1187 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 963 (47 markets)7.7/10
24/30 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($357 / $1,602)9.5/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+834
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Consistent
24/30 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#5,599$660Vol: $17,587
💻 TECH#4,340$173Vol: $2,974
🏛️ POLITICS#102,505$38Vol: $1,317
⚽ SPORTS#307,544$7Vol: $85
₿ CRYPTO#1,380,520$-47Vol: $74

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$834
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,066
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
175B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$529
Vol: $0
Month
$459
Vol: $0
All Time
$834
Vol: $22,066

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
40W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$834
Win Rate
85%
40W / 7L
Profit Factor
3.23x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,123 (1.3471794072137127% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$487
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$322
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$315
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$213
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$179
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$128
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$109
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$61
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$46
Will Marvell Technology (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?$31

Top Losers

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-297
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-145
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$-88
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-50
Ethereum flipped in 2026?$-47
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.272
Sortino
0.460
HHI
711
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.135
Kelly %
28.2%
Half-Kelly
14.1%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
54.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)81.1%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 2:12:01 PM45 trades$3,5673 min
6/9/2026, 4:50:31 AM18 trades$1,1541 min
5/20/2026, 4:47:15 PM15 trades$1,0970 min
6/26/2026, 6:31:32 AM5 trades$9470 min
6/12/2026, 6:46:01 PM4 trades$8740 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:35 PM5 trades$8700 min
7/11/2026, 9:59:17 PM3 trades$7650 min
6/29/2026, 11:28:19 PM21 trades$5894 min
6/9/2026, 4:42:37 AM10 trades$5621 min
6/9/2026, 6:44:48 PM10 trades$5008 min
4/3/2026, 1:04:33 PM5 trades$4910 min
3/17/2026, 12:20:49 AM7 trades$4514 min
4/23/2026, 5:53:38 PM17 trades$4165 min
4/29/2026, 8:32:56 PM7 trades$3600 min
5/22/2026, 2:24:44 PM3 trades$3570 min
5/1/2026, 10:23:56 AM2 trades$3360 min
4/28/2026, 11:39:16 PM12 trades$3341 min
6/29/2026, 11:22:46 PM7 trades$3250 min
6/9/2026, 4:36:58 AM4 trades$3000 min
5/17/2026, 2:12:33 PM7 trades$2401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-12
03-21
04-05
04-28
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M11.4 / H81.1