@earthquake

#2,696,6281

0x88c2dcd35e1a6deaf6fbb727ff3f60025008512c

~17d· 29 markets · 60 tradesVol: $41,5072026-08-06 07:55:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (7/24)0/20
0.25x (win $51 / loss $205)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.8540/15
Sortino -9.9780/10
$-0.0151 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4059 (24 markets)0/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($187 / $0)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,453,699$-45Vol: $32,389
⚽ SPORTS#1,540,416$-34Vol: $8,569
₿ CRYPTO#1,373,737$-44Vol: $330
🎭 CULTURE#723,557$-20Vol: $101
📈 ECONOMICS#628,371$-20Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,507
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
33B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-188
Vol: $41,507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
7W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-188
Win Rate
29%
7W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (0.20578692622732833% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$25
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$4
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$1

Top Losers

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $-45
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$-26
Trump posts 30-39 times on X?$-25
Will Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$-23
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-20
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-12
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-8
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$-8
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.547
Sortino
-0.734
HHI
1841
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.2%
Top-5 markets
66.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.9m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)72.7%

Sessions

#12
3/9/2026, 9:47:21 AM4 trades$4,1141 min
7/20/2026, 1:49:45 PM15 trades$3,3034 min
12/7/2024, 12:34:18 PM3 trades$1,5951 min
12/10/2024, 6:45:56 PM3 trades$1,5561 min
5/1/2026, 2:51:04 PM4 trades$1,4901 min
4/29/2026, 11:32:36 AM4 trades$1,4770 min
7/22/2026, 4:24:40 PM1 trades$2500 min
8/19/2024, 2:18:35 PM7 trades$2402 min
8/25/2024, 7:47:47 PM5 trades$1641 min
7/17/2026, 2:12:10 PM2 trades$500 min
1/8/2025, 7:18:43 AM1 trades$400 min
1/21/2025, 5:48:07 AM1 trades$350 min
2/15/2025, 6:41:48 PM1 trades$220 min
10/6/2025, 3:03:55 PM1 trades$120 min
9/4/2024, 4:35:32 PM2 trades$121 min
7/3/2025, 8:02:07 AM1 trades$80 min
1/26/2025, 4:36:44 PM1 trades$50 min
1/26/2025, 4:51:35 PM1 trades$40 min
1/26/2025, 10:54:21 PM1 trades$10 min
1/26/2025, 5:35:39 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-19
09-04
12-10
01-26
07-03
03-09
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M12.1 / H72.7