@PepsiWarrior

#3,028,60414

0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4

~53d· 100 markets · 1304 tradesVol: $1,043,6802026-08-06 06:21:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (32/83)4.3/20
0.86x (win $63,935 / loss $74,635)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1920/15
Sortino -1.7160/10
$-0.0619 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1076 (83 markets)7.1/10
15/38 profitable days (39%)2.4/10
Max DD 163% of peak ($33,552 / $20,618)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$172,762 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#682,140$-3,302Vol: $429,915
🏛️ POLITICS#4,502$8,074Vol: $340,861
SPORTS#1,877,422$-8,929Vol: $239,412
🎭 CULTURE#811,904$-1,134Vol: $9,560
💰 FINANCE#26,503$49Vol: $8,606
💻 TECH#3,690$227Vol: $1,727
🌤️ WEATHER#295,542$-470Vol: $1,403
CRYPTO#1,492,390$-117Vol: $1,350

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,043,680
Total Redeem
$6,953
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
318B / 986S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$-164
Vol: $0
Week
$-633
Vol: $9,880
Month
$276
Vol: $15,015
All Time
$-3,217
Vol: $1,043,680

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
32W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-2,651
Win Rate
39%
32W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$1,998
Avg Loss
$-1,555

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,279 (11.420013275804845% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$17,351
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$8,051
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$4,877
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$4,004
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,416
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3,412
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw$3,126
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata$2,000
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones$1,846
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1,688

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-9,109
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$-5,674
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer$-4,077
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,036
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$-3,964
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-3,938
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,002
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$-2,274
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef$-2,000
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
32.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)56.9%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 10:18:39 PM10 trades$56,7270 min
7/20/2026, 2:05:39 PM5 trades$28,5710 min
2/11/2026, 8:00:21 AM89 trades$22,6494 min
7/20/2026, 5:30:04 PM6 trades$22,2220 min
5/4/2026, 7:08:52 PM2 trades$16,1520 min
7/20/2026, 4:57:36 PM6 trades$12,5000 min
6/3/2026, 11:44:24 PM38 trades$11,6784 min
6/3/2026, 11:04:34 PM26 trades$10,2422 min
6/13/2026, 2:15:28 PM26 trades$8,68910 min
6/1/2026, 1:57:09 PM41 trades$8,4647 min
4/30/2026, 7:28:30 PM31 trades$8,0826 min
5/11/2026, 8:48:11 PM34 trades$7,40211 min
7/27/2026, 7:11:16 PM50 trades$7,35911 min
5/11/2026, 9:16:25 PM14 trades$6,9373 min
6/12/2026, 2:47:03 PM10 trades$6,8090 min
8/3/2026, 9:14:24 AM22 trades$6,7282 min
5/4/2026, 7:23:18 PM47 trades$5,9304 min
6/6/2026, 11:12:00 PM2 trades$5,8030 min
4/20/2026, 2:06:40 AM4 trades$5,5560 min
6/25/2026, 6:40:25 AM5 trades$5,5560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
04-19
05-10
06-03
06-14
07-06
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 99 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M26.4 / H56.9