@miguelalvarez99
#3,043,15380x90aa0da4cd5400ad1f4032663a6ec884a53500f1
~40d· 121 markets · 1305 tradesVol: $584,1522026-08-06 06:24:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (18/121)0/20
0.45x (win $15,823 / loss $34,825)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0300/15
Sortino -5.0940/10
$-0.4068 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 913 (121 markets)7.9/10
6/31 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 2480% of peak ($19,832 / $800)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,872,012$-4,701Vol: $583,691
🏛️ POLITICS#1,405,994$-26Vol: $461
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,727
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$584,152
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
480B / 825S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-257
Vol: $19,280
Month
$-301
Vol: $19,984
All Time
$-4,727
Vol: $584,152
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
18W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$-4,727
Win Rate
15%
18W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$879
Avg Loss
$-363
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,279 (1.9629628062544555% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$3,402
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$3,233
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?$2,644
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$1,683
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$897
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$728
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$658
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$591
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$533
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?$324
Top Losers
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-5,331
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-4,943
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-3,220
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-1,823
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,773
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,650
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-1,405
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-05?$-1,205
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-1,204
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-1,203
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.259
Sortino
-0.254
HHI
983
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
58.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 346s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)38.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)32.1%
Sessions
#126/12/2026, 1:32:19 AM6 trades$14,2930 min
6/26/2026, 12:09:28 AM9 trades$7,8521 min
6/25/2026, 11:38:43 PM27 trades$7,6991 min
6/12/2026, 1:24:46 AM10 trades$6,3822 min
6/23/2026, 2:12:31 AM2 trades$5,9940 min
6/25/2026, 11:47:52 PM11 trades$5,1414 min
8/5/2026, 1:37:08 AM10 trades$5,0007 min
6/26/2026, 3:10:11 PM26 trades$4,89217 min
6/23/2026, 1:34:35 AM5 trades$3,7420 min
6/25/2026, 11:16:37 PM8 trades$3,7364 min
6/25/2026, 9:55:37 PM16 trades$3,3011 min
7/7/2026, 11:42:32 PM2 trades$3,2790 min
6/21/2026, 2:55:29 AM2 trades$2,6930 min
7/1/2026, 2:44:44 AM2 trades$2,6810 min
7/1/2026, 5:08:34 PM2 trades$2,6320 min
7/1/2026, 2:29:55 AM5 trades$2,4963 min
7/26/2026, 4:35:28 AM6 trades$2,4410 min
6/26/2026, 3:43:41 AM20 trades$2,4078 min
6/26/2026, 12:48:40 AM11 trades$2,3746 min
6/23/2026, 1:55:41 PM6 trades$2,3737 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
06-22
06-27
07-04
07-15
07-29
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.8 / M29.2 / H32.1