@EricTime
#2,393,902150x90f8bf728d9c4c0c295e7689cad620dd4a6dc12b
~13d· 34 markets · 109 tradesVol: $6,9202026-08-06 07:59:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (7/17)5.6/20
0.70x (win $90 / loss $128)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7900/15
Sortino -5.3870/10
$-0.0689 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1025 (17 markets)7.4/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($63 / $0)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,920
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
48B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
6W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-56
Win Rate
35%
6W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (1.3145189918352858% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1
Top Losers
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$-28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-24
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.308
HHI
511
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
44.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 0.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)85.4%
Sessions
#126/2/2026, 9:21:08 AM27 trades$19713 min
6/12/2026, 5:40:04 PM4 trades$1111 min
6/2/2026, 6:26:17 PM14 trades$889 min
6/26/2026, 3:00:44 PM4 trades$831 min
6/22/2026, 4:13:13 AM4 trades$740 min
6/15/2026, 4:26:52 PM4 trades$600 min
6/16/2026, 8:08:09 AM4 trades$520 min
6/25/2026, 2:33:43 AM4 trades$520 min
6/27/2026, 3:48:56 AM2 trades$450 min
6/2/2026, 9:39:39 AM4 trades$400 min
6/22/2026, 3:48:04 AM2 trades$300 min
6/14/2026, 12:45:40 AM5 trades$270 min
6/22/2026, 10:50:49 AM2 trades$250 min
6/27/2026, 3:36:43 AM2 trades$240 min
6/13/2026, 2:42:12 PM3 trades$220 min
6/12/2026, 2:56:19 PM4 trades$200 min
6/15/2026, 5:19:25 PM3 trades$200 min
6/13/2026, 3:23:16 PM3 trades$200 min
6/2/2026, 10:02:16 AM2 trades$160 min
6/18/2026, 6:39:17 AM2 trades$150 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
06-03
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-18
06-22
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.3 / M6.2 / H85.4