GeoStrategistPro

@GeoStrategistPro

#198,52941

0x95858b06cd99ca6b8cf44f3ee5f1005ae62e1ff2

~71d· 113 markets · 749 tradesVol: $29,6342026-08-06 06:23:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (21/100)0/20
1.45x (win $1,417 / loss $979)8.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.67015/15
Sortino 4.48810/10
$+0.0303 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1313 (100 markets)5.9/10
12/39 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($536 / $438)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+148
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,562,207$-200Vol: $26,740
📈 ECONOMICS#5,609$379Vol: $2,014
SPORTS#1,318,382$-9Vol: $462
💰 FINANCE#581,789$-13Vol: $346
🎭 CULTURE#687,788$-10Vol: $72

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,634
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
315B / 434S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $3,789
Month
$-67
Vol: $4,163
All Time
$148
Vol: $29,634

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
21W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$148
Win Rate
21%
21W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.45x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $976 (6.588798920377868% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$710
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$142
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$125
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$123
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$49
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$38
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$37
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$21

Top Losers

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-252
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-89
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-48
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$-47
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $-39
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$-32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-25
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-21
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$-20
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.217
HHI
288
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
27.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 3.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)27.9%

Sessions

#12
8/5/2026, 9:57:59 AM8 trades$2,1690 min
7/22/2026, 3:39:30 AM6 trades$2,0880 min
7/18/2026, 4:32:39 AM13 trades$2,0570 min
7/26/2026, 4:13:45 AM7 trades$1,9940 min
7/16/2026, 1:32:20 PM10 trades$1,9530 min
7/3/2026, 5:32:40 AM9 trades$1,9501 min
8/2/2026, 4:13:06 AM13 trades$1,9213 min
7/15/2026, 5:25:40 PM2 trades$1,2570 min
7/14/2026, 3:29:05 PM6 trades$1,1960 min
7/14/2026, 8:23:50 AM2 trades$9650 min
7/10/2026, 6:55:11 AM13 trades$9410 min
6/10/2026, 5:48:21 PM11 trades$6971 min
7/7/2026, 2:11:11 PM9 trades$6640 min
5/18/2026, 4:02:32 PM12 trades$3452 min
4/7/2026, 7:57:31 AM40 trades$34413 min
7/15/2026, 6:40:10 AM2 trades$3360 min
6/8/2026, 9:49:46 AM2 trades$3000 min
5/26/2026, 1:01:09 PM5 trades$2894 min
5/18/2026, 6:45:20 PM7 trades$2591 min
5/19/2026, 9:24:36 PM5 trades$2381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-09
04-22
05-01
05-16
06-10
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.9 / M23.2 / H27.9