Gaeten-Dugas

@Gaeten-Dugas

#4,99780

0xa1e9ab4d47ce17961795c6250a99e07b7c9d8b44

~129d· 90 markets · 503 tradesVol: $936,4712026-08-06 07:12:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (47/87)12/20
2.05x (win $36,415 / loss $17,769)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.22315/15
Sortino 9.03910/10
$+0.1031 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 834 (87 markets)8.3/10
35/64 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($5,793 / $21,167)8.5/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+34,070
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$180,905 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#4,242$8,691Vol: $661,862
🎭 CULTURE#847$9,850Vol: $200,606
💰 FINANCE#7,429$454Vol: $18,935
📈 ECONOMICS#4,858$480Vol: $4,000
SPORTS#1,203,762$-5Vol: $1,899

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$34,070
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$936,471
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
332B / 171S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$233
Vol: $841
Month
$283
Vol: $841
All Time
$34,070
Vol: $936,471

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
47W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$34,070
Win Rate
54%
47W / 40L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$775
Avg Loss
$-444

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,791 (0.40479057136752045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$5,891
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$4,499
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,401
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$2,910
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2,808
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$2,483
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%$2,306
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$1,301
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$919
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane?$800

Top Losers

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$-5,328
Biden drops out by July 12?$-3,738
George Santos expelled in 2023?$-973
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-703
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?$-699
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus >60%$-594
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? $-542
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed?$-525
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury$-440
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$-414

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.219
Sortino
0.364
HHI
755
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
48.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 636s — normal for humanCV 3.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.1%
Mid (20-55c)34.9%
High (>55c)38%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2024, 11:35:22 PM3 trades$23,2861 min
8/29/2024, 4:58:36 PM1 trades$20,0620 min
8/27/2024, 11:03:54 PM4 trades$18,3083 min
8/27/2024, 11:21:50 PM1 trades$13,1270 min
7/16/2024, 1:40:01 AM1 trades$10,4740 min
8/23/2024, 1:36:14 PM2 trades$10,1882 min
7/22/2024, 2:24:51 AM1 trades$9,9980 min
8/24/2024, 12:14:07 PM2 trades$9,7201 min
10/17/2024, 4:58:51 PM1 trades$8,9000 min
8/31/2024, 8:47:01 PM9 trades$8,76313 min
10/11/2024, 3:17:40 PM1 trades$7,9820 min
10/25/2024, 10:57:53 AM1 trades$7,8690 min
9/23/2024, 6:21:42 PM1 trades$7,1970 min
12/2/2025, 2:27:40 AM1 trades$6,9150 min
1/7/2024, 9:29:21 PM1 trades$6,6940 min
2/1/2024, 3:56:13 PM1 trades$6,3000 min
8/24/2024, 1:13:04 AM2 trades$6,0641 min
1/7/2024, 3:16:22 PM2 trades$5,7131 min
8/2/2024, 1:53:04 PM1 trades$5,0050 min
7/13/2024, 10:52:53 PM1 trades$4,7100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
05-29
10-18
01-25
02-28
07-31
10-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 157 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.1 / M34.9 / H38