@predictionGOD48

#2,901,74053

0xa2d4810c9afeaa7c2e9d6fc0419c7f91f7e34064

~20d· 57 markets · 297 tradesVol: $71,1772026-08-06 07:10:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (32/56)13.6/20
1.11x (win $6,478 / loss $5,854)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.78914.8/15
Sortino 1.27410/10
$+0.0522 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 1069 (56 markets)7.2/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 242% of peak ($3,145 / $1,298)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,727,413$-165Vol: $60,158
CRYPTO#1,601,128$-608Vol: $10,968
🏛️ POLITICS#440,137$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-773
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,177
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
118B / 179S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $0
Week
$-339
Vol: $2,025
Month
$-487
Vol: $3,915
All Time
$-773
Vol: $71,177

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
32W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-720
Win Rate
57%
32W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$202
Avg Loss
$-308

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,610 (5.015227932696984% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,877
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals$376
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$356
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$327
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$170
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$163
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$163
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$145
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$145
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$141

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,320
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-600
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-400
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-400
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$-388
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-300
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-220
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-200
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.060
HHI
1531
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
14.6%
Half-Kelly
7.3%
Top-1 market
23%
Top-5 markets
72.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 558s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)60.2%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 8:35:56 PM16 trades$1,4976 min
6/25/2026, 1:50:02 PM12 trades$1,4006 min
6/28/2026, 9:23:20 AM4 trades$1,3790 min
6/28/2026, 1:52:26 AM6 trades$1,2343 min
7/1/2026, 2:54:58 PM2 trades$1,0310 min
7/3/2026, 2:57:55 AM6 trades$1,0170 min
7/5/2026, 8:45:02 PM3 trades$9970 min
6/26/2026, 10:06:28 PM8 trades$8606 min
6/24/2026, 9:26:55 PM8 trades$8254 min
6/25/2026, 4:34:56 PM8 trades$8002 min
7/7/2026, 3:51:53 PM4 trades$7261 min
7/14/2026, 5:14:43 AM6 trades$6231 min
7/14/2026, 4:14:20 AM4 trades$6061 min
6/25/2026, 8:57:14 AM4 trades$6041 min
7/17/2026, 6:51:21 AM3 trades$5830 min
6/27/2026, 1:01:28 AM6 trades$5662 min
6/27/2026, 11:23:10 PM6 trades$5432 min
6/26/2026, 10:21:35 AM9 trades$5321 min
6/25/2026, 8:50:14 AM4 trades$4720 min
7/14/2026, 4:27:26 AM6 trades$4655 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-25
06-27
06-29
07-01
07-07
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M22.9 / H60.2