@otibr

#2,032,67540

0xa5e162077dcd819c384317afc9dbb65c25666acd

~33d· 61 markets · 71 tradesVol: $12,5872026-08-06 07:12:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (55/60)20/20
0.67x (win $31 / loss $46)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2260/15
Sortino -1.2490/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 299 (60 markets)10/10
28/32 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 1372% of peak ($45 / $3)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Consistent
28/32 profitable days
Win Streak
22 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,407,145$-27Vol: $10,959
₿ CRYPTO#275,789$6Vol: $914
🎭 CULTURE#127,589$2Vol: $500
⚽ SPORTS#509,448$0Vol: $116
💰 FINANCE#207,692$0Vol: $64
💻 TECH#87,733$0Vol: $20
🌤️ WEATHER#78,517$0Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,587
Total Redeem
$94
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
64B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $95
Month
$1
Vol: $95
All Time
$-18
Vol: $12,587

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
55W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
92%
55W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10 (0.5571830985915494% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$5
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$3
Netanyahu out by June 30?$2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$2
Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$2
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? $2
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?$1
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-41
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
321
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
39s
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.23
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)95.3%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 6:28:08 PM4 trades$1902 min
4/7/2026, 11:32:03 PM3 trades$1880 min
9/22/2024, 12:13:16 PM3 trades$1280 min
9/18/2024, 6:34:22 PM1 trades$1180 min
9/12/2024, 10:22:31 PM1 trades$1180 min
9/5/2024, 1:28:20 PM1 trades$1180 min
9/2/2024, 8:33:06 PM1 trades$1170 min
8/24/2024, 2:23:51 PM1 trades$1170 min
8/22/2024, 10:24:15 PM1 trades$1170 min
8/14/2024, 8:58:53 PM1 trades$1160 min
8/9/2024, 10:09:11 PM1 trades$1160 min
8/7/2024, 11:46:28 PM1 trades$1150 min
7/31/2024, 10:50:30 PM1 trades$1150 min
10/8/2024, 4:10:27 PM5 trades$1074 min
6/10/2026, 11:12:15 PM4 trades$950 min
3/7/2026, 10:19:47 PM1 trades$930 min
2/8/2026, 11:39:23 PM1 trades$920 min
12/7/2025, 6:21:45 PM1 trades$900 min
11/7/2025, 7:30:05 PM2 trades$890 min
10/21/2025, 12:59:55 PM10 trades$885 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
08-24
09-22
01-08
07-18
12-07
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M3.1 / H95.3