billandboard

@billandboard

#2,941,7269

0xa95e8a8faaf468b021c595343c225db0df31a8ed

~18d· 51 markets · 1385 tradesVol: $73,8622026-08-06 06:16:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (15/48)0.6/20
0.72x (win $1,751 / loss $2,436)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3600/15
Sortino -4.1230/10
$-0.1174 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 916 (48 markets)7.9/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($976 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#298,150$-1,067Vol: $71,872
₿ CRYPTO#1,235,989$-17Vol: $1,398
⚽ SPORTS#1,501,172$-26Vol: $592

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,862
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
347B / 1038S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-162
Vol: $1,618
Week
$-160
Vol: $10,801
Month
$-281
Vol: $11,817
All Time
$-1,109
Vol: $73,862

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
15W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-1,109
Win Rate
31%
15W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$117
Avg Loss
$-76

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,004 (0.9051494911801554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$509
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?$308
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$186
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$180
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?$177
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?$176
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?$146
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?$16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?$13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5?$-404
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$-319
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?$-304
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?$-194
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?$-189
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?$-139
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$-106
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.219
HHI
355
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
32%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)53.9%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 10:48:25 PM14 trades$2,0832 min
7/12/2026, 11:46:55 PM8 trades$2,0711 min
8/5/2026, 1:33:08 PM38 trades$8478 min
7/13/2026, 5:29:34 AM17 trades$4951 min
7/21/2026, 9:54:51 PM3 trades$4860 min
8/5/2026, 1:10:39 PM32 trades$4618 min
8/5/2026, 4:51:44 PM2 trades$4560 min
8/4/2026, 5:16:38 PM17 trades$4066 min
8/5/2026, 8:13:53 PM11 trades$3700 min
7/27/2026, 8:29:45 PM22 trades$3533 min
8/5/2026, 9:02:35 PM54 trades$3515 min
7/28/2026, 1:52:11 PM41 trades$3395 min
8/4/2026, 11:27:50 AM16 trades$2752 min
7/29/2026, 1:50:36 AM20 trades$2545 min
7/21/2026, 5:02:22 PM20 trades$2531 min
7/29/2026, 2:03:20 AM22 trades$2350 min
7/28/2026, 11:45:47 AM27 trades$2301 min
8/5/2026, 10:16:53 AM2 trades$2280 min
7/28/2026, 5:05:19 PM6 trades$2260 min
7/29/2026, 5:34:06 AM8 trades$2250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-10
07-12
07-14
07-16
07-21
07-27
07-29
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
89.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M31.4 / H53.9