@seasonalintelligence
#1,998,013100xa982b0742b38d273fe7e4265cd140586759c6fd1
~11d· 25 markets · 178 tradesVol: $10,0592026-08-06 06:18:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (8/22)3.2/20
0.69x (win $86 / loss $125)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6580/15
Sortino -5.2640/10
$-0.0688 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1093 (22 markets)7/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($89 / $0)0/10
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#256,705$-16Vol: $10,059
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,059
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
68B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d
Periods
#2Today
$43
Vol: $4,989
Week
$66
Vol: $5,354
Month
$66
Vol: $5,354
All Time
$-16
Vol: $10,059
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
8W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
36%
8W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72 (4.431311881188119% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?$51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?$10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?$5
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?$4
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 17?$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?$0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 15?$0
Top Losers
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5?$-11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 11?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 18?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.358
HHI
354
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
31%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1294s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)61.8%
Sessions
#128/6/2026, 4:08:41 AM11 trades$1,1660 min
8/6/2026, 5:41:44 AM9 trades$1782 min
8/6/2026, 3:10:59 AM3 trades$880 min
8/5/2026, 6:37:06 AM8 trades$840 min
8/5/2026, 2:33:29 AM13 trades$687 min
8/6/2026, 4:45:11 AM12 trades$595 min
6/9/2026, 11:32:12 PM8 trades$511 min
8/6/2026, 2:10:26 AM7 trades$495 min
8/5/2026, 2:13:17 AM5 trades$470 min
6/18/2026, 5:52:23 PM4 trades$330 min
6/11/2026, 1:09:18 PM2 trades$320 min
6/9/2026, 11:24:27 PM4 trades$312 min
8/6/2026, 5:35:21 AM3 trades$310 min
8/6/2026, 12:42:20 AM3 trades$300 min
8/6/2026, 2:21:27 AM2 trades$300 min
8/5/2026, 1:50:48 PM4 trades$300 min
8/5/2026, 4:56:05 PM4 trades$270 min
6/11/2026, 4:31:57 AM5 trades$235 min
8/5/2026, 4:37:17 PM2 trades$220 min
6/10/2026, 11:36:40 PM2 trades$190 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-11
06-12
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-18
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.8 / M29.4 / H61.8