@2kparabellum

#2,770,6882

0xa9d0a507904bc87a93f944544ac936238ce660ed

~136d· 961 markets · 4921 tradesVol: $259,8912026-08-06 07:58:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (12/145)0/20
0.31x (win $344 / loss $1,095)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3860/15
Sortino -5.8320/10
$-0.1602 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2102 (145 markets)2/10
5/47 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 1598% of peak ($801 / $50)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,708,697$-131Vol: $102,746
🏛️ POLITICS#61,688$108Vol: $90,729
📈 ECONOMICS#664,504$-132Vol: $16,615
💰 FINANCE#35,887$26Vol: $15,531
₿ CRYPTO#74,136$153Vol: $12,413
🎭 CULTURE#708,321$-15Vol: $8,804
💻 TECH#248,932$-94Vol: $5,941
🌤️ WEATHER#178,930$-1Vol: $1,446

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-280
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$259,891
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
961
total markets
Trades
2612B / 2309S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$24
Vol: $677
Month
$8
Vol: $786
All Time
$-280
Vol: $259,891

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
8W / 137L events
Realized PnL
$-286
Win Rate
6%
8W / 137L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $322 (1.1235068110373732% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$165
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$80
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$76
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$14
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?$7

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-200
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-100
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-100
TikTok sale announced in 2025?$-100
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-100
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$-59
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-38
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$-34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-30
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.279
Sortino
-0.315
HHI
794
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.260
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.8%
Top-5 markets
40.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
63.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 10.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)10%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 8:38:59 PM1939 trades$3,52933 min
1/14/2025, 11:15:25 AM2 trades$1,4741 min
7/5/2026, 10:35:56 AM477 trades$1,16113 min
11/6/2024, 1:09:19 PM1 trades$7570 min
6/7/2026, 8:53:27 AM22 trades$5664 min
1/5/2025, 6:38:41 AM1 trades$5000 min
6/20/2026, 9:42:34 AM372 trades$4747 min
6/1/2026, 6:41:37 PM8 trades$4380 min
7/12/2026, 6:46:11 PM7 trades$3270 min
4/5/2026, 1:41:35 PM32 trades$2431 min
4/4/2026, 6:13:33 AM24 trades$2310 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:08 PM5 trades$2060 min
12/30/2024, 5:05:30 AM2 trades$2001 min
9/13/2025, 6:48:26 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/21/2025, 5:22:23 PM2 trades$2002 min
5/30/2026, 2:19:59 PM12 trades$1967 min
12/15/2024, 9:07:27 AM1 trades$1320 min
4/5/2026, 11:55:37 PM10 trades$1230 min
7/5/2026, 7:23:23 AM18 trades$1104 min
12/21/2024, 9:26:48 AM3 trades$1079 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
12-21
04-13
06-22
07-01
07-08
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 583 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.4 / M0.7 / H10