@lokmjgb

#2,904,84921

0xaa1d1e522a4108f434f51bf5ceb0f461c7bd0eac

~44d· 144 markets · 550 tradesVol: $45,8102026-08-06 06:14:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (26/57)7.8/20
0.68x (win $722 / loss $1,056)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3370/15
Sortino -5.0020/10
$-0.0465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 746 (57 markets)8.8/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 28408% of peak ($335 / $1)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,277$-301Vol: $30,731
💰 FINANCE#645,580$-271Vol: $4,809
CRYPTO#1,553,366$-249Vol: $3,184
SPORTS#1,655,530$-84Vol: $2,865
📢 MENTIONS#151,885$-35Vol: $597
🎭 CULTURE#666,651$-7Vol: $400
📈 ECONOMICS#133,341$1Vol: $300
💻 TECH#220,077$-6Vol: $300
🌤️ WEATHER#266,032$-26Vol: $159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-799
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
329B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$17
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-799
Vol: $45,810

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
26W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-799
Win Rate
46%
26W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $332 (0.41534745773317144% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$126
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$106
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$101
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?$61
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$30
Will Belgium go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$28
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?$25
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?$21
Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$21

Top Losers

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?$-253
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-109
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?$-95
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?$-92
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?$-77
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?$-73
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-48
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30?$-45
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?$-40
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2423s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)79%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 5:33:04 AM14 trades$1,1318 min
6/15/2026, 1:49:43 AM19 trades$3525 min
7/5/2026, 1:50:07 AM15 trades$2144 min
6/26/2026, 3:06:10 AM4 trades$1731 min
6/15/2026, 8:00:04 AM10 trades$1713 min
6/22/2026, 3:58:08 AM10 trades$1561 min
6/17/2026, 2:27:43 AM12 trades$1555 min
6/3/2026, 2:33:28 AM9 trades$1536 min
6/5/2026, 3:14:57 AM25 trades$1476 min
6/17/2026, 8:19:49 AM3 trades$1432 min
6/18/2026, 11:31:47 PM8 trades$1411 min
6/27/2026, 4:15:28 AM3 trades$1343 min
7/4/2026, 2:15:52 AM16 trades$1305 min
6/13/2026, 12:41:52 PM3 trades$1291 min
6/15/2026, 9:58:13 AM3 trades$1263 min
6/12/2026, 3:31:34 AM11 trades$1161 min
6/20/2026, 12:32:43 PM3 trades$1101 min
6/30/2026, 3:22:22 AM4 trades$1090 min
6/7/2026, 12:05:51 PM4 trades$1001 min
6/23/2026, 1:22:52 PM4 trades$993 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
06-05
06-12
06-16
06-21
06-29
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M8.5 / H79