@overwhelming

#2,892,07337

0xaff9effcbebb93f065f8df88e6072e8345e98e3c

~114d· 6086 markets · 14446 tradesVol: $169,322 @jonathan_s867642026-08-06 07:55:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (4451/6081)20/20
0.41x (win $4,694 / loss $11,475)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8150/15
Sortino -4.8410/10
$-0.1099 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 19 (6081 markets)10/10
61/106 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 43530% of peak ($7,330 / $17)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Whale
$61,704 invested
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#271,300$-35Vol: $84,019
₿ CRYPTO#1,604,205$-657Vol: $83,584
⚽ SPORTS#815,902$-0Vol: $911
💰 FINANCE#441,383$-1Vol: $557
🏛️ POLITICS#1,093,936$-4Vol: $149
📈 ECONOMICS#561,712$-4Vol: $76
🎭 CULTURE#558,369$-1Vol: $25
📢 MENTIONS#77,807$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-704
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,322
Total Redeem
$15,627
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6086
total markets
Trades
10313B / 4133S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-63
Vol: $401
Week
$-327
Vol: $9,184
Month
$-303
Vol: $12,568
All Time
$-704
Vol: $169,322

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
4451W / 1630L events
Realized PnL
$-668
Win Rate
73%
4451W / 1630L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,747 (2.616784494637829% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1,486
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$150
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$111
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?$85
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?$63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?$41

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$-211
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$-164
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-105
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-103
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$-78
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-73

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.251
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.3
Active
Markets / Day
12.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)97.9%

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 10:33:07 AM170 trades$2,269160 min
4/1/2026, 9:11:33 AM252 trades$759147 min
3/27/2026, 5:14:13 AM79 trades$60874 min
3/28/2026, 1:49:35 PM70 trades$55950 min
3/27/2026, 11:24:55 AM52 trades$52153 min
5/11/2026, 2:29:23 AM101 trades$49739 min
5/14/2026, 2:35:04 AM13 trades$4495 min
8/5/2026, 10:30:47 PM8 trades$3910 min
3/29/2026, 12:49:18 AM34 trades$32236 min
5/28/2026, 3:19:11 PM17 trades$29913 min
4/1/2026, 4:29:59 AM90 trades$28356 min
3/27/2026, 10:17:19 AM66 trades$26857 min
6/20/2026, 7:05:14 AM16 trades$26614 min
6/28/2026, 5:17:29 AM28 trades$26324 min
6/15/2026, 12:58:43 PM4 trades$2600 min
3/26/2026, 2:28:33 AM60 trades$25455 min
6/21/2026, 5:15:44 AM22 trades$25124 min
6/12/2026, 5:59:25 PM1 trades$2490 min
4/1/2026, 11:52:53 AM128 trades$24875 min
3/27/2026, 4:23:13 AM46 trades$24146 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-21
04-20
05-09
06-07
06-25
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M1.8 / H97.9