@iamarichman

#151,06168

0xb21f78421d00168e0541c029b1f7ad6c54e8cf00

~30d· 52 markets · 276 tradesVol: $28,2102026-08-06 06:25:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (37/51)20/20
1.31x (win $288 / loss $220)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.89915/15
Sortino 3.58510/10
$+0.0140 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 1229 (51 markets)6.4/10
17/25 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($77 / $67)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+278
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Consistent
17/25 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#4,026$278Vol: $28,210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,210
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
211B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$53
Vol: $2,895
Week
$134
Vol: $17,798
Month
$244
Vol: $19,678
All Time
$278
Vol: $28,210

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
37W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$278
Win Rate
73%
37W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $142 (0.5095797836011359% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?$65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?$40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 4?$37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5?$28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 4?$23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?$16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?$10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 11?$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?$7
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?$-22
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 10?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?$-6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.097
Sortino
0.129
HHI
1002
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
67.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
53%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 622s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)53% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)96.7%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 4:33:05 AM7 trades$4136 min
8/3/2026, 3:18:18 AM5 trades$3383 min
8/6/2026, 3:31:21 AM3 trades$3132 min
8/2/2026, 4:04:47 AM2 trades$2680 min
8/4/2026, 12:05:05 AM2 trades$2600 min
8/4/2026, 5:32:59 AM10 trades$25312 min
8/4/2026, 6:47:33 AM9 trades$2484 min
8/6/2026, 1:30:45 AM1 trades$2380 min
8/5/2026, 4:47:11 AM3 trades$2372 min
8/3/2026, 10:32:53 AM16 trades$2269 min
8/4/2026, 6:56:12 AM22 trades$21517 min
8/4/2026, 3:08:20 PM2 trades$1920 min
8/4/2026, 5:16:05 AM9 trades$1578 min
8/3/2026, 2:21:06 PM1 trades$1550 min
8/5/2026, 1:06:09 AM4 trades$1080 min
8/4/2026, 7:14:11 PM1 trades$990 min
8/6/2026, 1:11:26 AM2 trades$980 min
8/5/2026, 2:44:00 AM1 trades$920 min
8/3/2026, 1:12:12 PM3 trades$870 min
8/3/2026, 1:27:14 AM5 trades$680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
07-06
07-10
07-16
07-24
07-30
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M3.3 / H96.7