@4lucky

#3,059,2400

0xb37e6a5687577a0d192dd57ebb661904e2608d2f

~28d· 27 markets · 157 tradesVol: $250,3682026-08-06 07:10:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (4/19)0/20
0.09x (win $921 / loss $9,877)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1050/15
Sortino -8.2800/10
$-0.4525 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3191 (19 markets)0/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 1741% of peak ($9,501 / $546)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,781$-6,603Vol: $196,485
₿ CRYPTO#1,659,632$-2,704Vol: $31,306
🎭 CULTURE#801,813$-322Vol: $11,556
📈 ECONOMICS#4,640$514Vol: $10,798
⚽ SPORTS#1,630,654$-66Vol: $223

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,180
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$250,368
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
78B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $0
Week
$-89
Vol: $8,480
Month
$-149
Vol: $8,480
All Time
$-9,180
Vol: $250,368

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
4W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-9,180
Win Rate
21%
4W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$230
Avg Loss
$-658

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $920 (0.10021655726240246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$520
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$390
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$10
Pirates vs. Rockies$1

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-4,412
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2,696
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-1,098
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$-444
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$-424
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-292
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$-134
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$-114
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$-83
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.460
Sortino
-0.426
HHI
4019
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.432
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.1%
Top-5 markets
97.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.6%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 1:08:36 PM19 trades$6,4674 min
10/27/2025, 10:39:53 AM2 trades$4,7440 min
5/11/2026, 8:10:48 PM19 trades$3,2200 min
10/25/2025, 6:21:37 PM5 trades$2,0062 min
12/15/2025, 6:26:11 PM2 trades$1,9300 min
1/4/2026, 1:45:35 PM5 trades$1,8811 min
2/11/2026, 7:22:39 AM2 trades$1,8641 min
12/28/2025, 2:55:39 PM3 trades$1,7841 min
10/7/2025, 9:39:26 AM5 trades$1,6462 min
8/3/2025, 3:08:44 PM3 trades$1,4021 min
1/4/2026, 1:36:19 PM2 trades$1,1190 min
9/23/2025, 6:03:54 PM2 trades$1,1080 min
5/19/2026, 12:53:52 PM28 trades$1,1043 min
9/10/2025, 4:19:19 PM2 trades$1,0380 min
10/21/2025, 3:40:41 PM3 trades$1,0302 min
3/30/2026, 2:03:25 PM1 trades$9960 min
10/21/2025, 6:42:49 PM2 trades$7980 min
9/2/2025, 4:29:04 PM3 trades$5501 min
9/26/2025, 9:25:46 AM1 trades$4990 min
9/2/2025, 8:01:28 PM1 trades$4500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-02
09-02
09-29
10-21
10-25
12-28
02-11
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 224 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.6 / M19.2 / H5.1