@carlosbeltran.eth

#3,056,0854

0xbb9c7cc0c79662e0c070c15b7a9ac95d5a287c0b

~13d· 12 markets · 67 tradesVol: $665,2332026-08-06 06:17:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.94x (win $8,899 / loss $9,483)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3790/15
Sortino -0.6010/10
$-0.0542 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9560 (11 markets)0/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 110% of peak ($6,351 / $5,768)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#816,006$-4,250Vol: $629,282
🏛️ POLITICS#1,617,481$-1,103Vol: $17,489
⚽ SPORTS#1,839,254$-1,254Vol: $10,364
📢 MENTIONS#175,209$-963Vol: $5,237
₿ CRYPTO#1,527,703$-180Vol: $2,861

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,750
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$665,233
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
18B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-7,599
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$2,966
Avg Loss
$-1,185

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,899 (1.1710053806808685% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$8,034
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$828
Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?$37

Top Losers

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$-6,351
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$-999
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-749
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$-500
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?$-500
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-204
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$-100
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
1208
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
15.4%
Half-Kelly
7.7%
Top-1 market
31.3%
Top-5 markets
58.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1999s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 12:01:01 AM2 trades$307,1170 min
6/27/2026, 3:37:14 PM36 trades$107,6831 min
6/15/2026, 4:17:48 AM2 trades$2,4540 min
6/15/2026, 4:51:07 AM10 trades$2,2290 min
4/3/2026, 2:26:33 PM2 trades$1,8920 min
6/16/2026, 2:06:49 AM2 trades$1,4520 min
12/7/2025, 6:11:27 AM1 trades$1,0780 min
9/9/2024, 9:59:17 PM2 trades$1,0003 min
7/19/2025, 11:27:28 PM1 trades$9990 min
2/25/2026, 1:28:52 AM1 trades$9440 min
12/6/2025, 9:40:39 PM1 trades$7490 min
12/7/2025, 5:28:19 AM1 trades$2510 min
1/28/2026, 6:50:00 PM1 trades$2120 min
2/23/2026, 8:59:56 PM3 trades$1882 min
8/13/2024, 1:49:41 AM1 trades$1370 min
8/13/2024, 12:57:17 AM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-13
09-09
07-19
12-06
12-07
02-23
06-15
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.6 / M22.2 / H22.2