kaixinwan

@kaixinwan

#2,776,63391

0xbdd444ab3dc32ac2976d366df2b1bd4aa7e4eaf5

~19d· 35 markets · 182 tradesVol: $54,8742026-08-06 07:55:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (23/29)20/20
5.25x (win $516 / loss $98)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.56315/15
Sortino 23.94910/10
$+0.0741 per $1 invested3.7/10
HHI 683 (29 markets)9.1/10
9/14 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($89 / $418)9.8/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Consistent
9/14 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#294,471$-362Vol: $49,924
💰 FINANCE#22,831$65Vol: $4,259
💻 TECH#28,525$3Vol: $545
CRYPTO#480,138$0Vol: $18
🏛️ POLITICS#793,643$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,874
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
109B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $739
Week
$44
Vol: $10,407
Month
$46
Vol: $13,700
All Time
$-291
Vol: $54,874

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
23W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-281
Win Rate
79%
23W / 6L
Profit Factor
5.25x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $368 (1.313219517410985% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$190
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?$135
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10?$43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$18
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 11?$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?$8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?$8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?$8

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?$-89
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-3
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?$-0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.432
Sortino
0.771
HHI
724
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
50.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1683s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 3:28:19 AM2 trades$5280 min
7/14/2026, 11:40:11 AM4 trades$5210 min
7/10/2026, 1:33:52 PM2 trades$3900 min
7/10/2026, 7:44:43 AM1 trades$3140 min
7/26/2026, 11:34:18 AM4 trades$3000 min
7/10/2026, 2:33:25 AM4 trades$2432 min
7/8/2026, 12:01:46 AM2 trades$2410 min
7/14/2026, 3:38:23 AM3 trades$2321 min
7/14/2026, 9:52:43 AM4 trades$2191 min
7/18/2026, 1:54:15 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/13/2026, 12:53:46 AM1 trades$1990 min
7/10/2026, 10:10:59 AM1 trades$1980 min
7/13/2026, 1:27:56 AM3 trades$1940 min
7/23/2026, 11:00:15 AM2 trades$1920 min
7/10/2026, 7:53:32 AM7 trades$1902 min
7/18/2026, 12:02:10 AM5 trades$1661 min
7/7/2026, 11:09:53 AM2 trades$1620 min
7/10/2026, 2:44:22 AM4 trades$1573 min
7/26/2026, 6:31:16 AM2 trades$1520 min
7/23/2026, 3:46:33 PM1 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
07-02
07-10
07-14
07-18
07-23
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
69% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M0 / H95.4