@Marley69

#104,49281

0xc4516f2ebeaef3a72f1da95b43118c82ad12c637

~36d· 24 markets · 211 tradesVol: $25,5402026-08-06 06:32:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (11/20)12.5/20
18.76x (win $1,165 / loss $62)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.02415/15
Sortino 259.36710/10
$+0.2347 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1895 (20 markets)3/10
9/17 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($13 / $1,103)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+626
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 1%

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#22,875$85Vol: $16,296
🏛️ POLITICS#25,502$561Vol: $8,150
📈 ECONOMICS#626,608$-20Vol: $1,094

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$626
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,540
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
67B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
11W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$626
Win Rate
55%
11W / 9L
Profit Factor
18.76x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $962 (1.537790418970311% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$753
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$152
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$55
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$48
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$17
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1

Top Losers

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$-18
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$-13
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$-11
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-8
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-6
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-2
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$-2
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$-2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.357
Sortino
14.675
HHI
833
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.385
Kelly %
29.7%
Half-Kelly
14.9%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
52.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)40.3%
High (>55c)32.8%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 10:50:22 PM22 trades$1,6132 min
6/12/2026, 6:23:52 AM8 trades$1,5170 min
6/14/2026, 2:14:52 PM13 trades$1,1080 min
6/12/2026, 2:57:55 PM26 trades$7720 min
6/29/2026, 7:14:08 AM24 trades$6421 min
6/23/2026, 2:19:53 PM13 trades$6190 min
3/29/2026, 5:23:16 AM2 trades$6010 min
12/22/2025, 10:48:21 PM5 trades$4204 min
12/14/2025, 11:19:17 PM5 trades$4179 min
10/15/2025, 4:38:31 AM3 trades$3602 min
12/22/2025, 11:08:05 PM1 trades$2200 min
6/23/2026, 12:24:22 AM2 trades$1700 min
11/21/2025, 2:42:33 PM2 trades$1450 min
12/14/2025, 8:29:25 AM2 trades$1301 min
3/6/2026, 7:03:55 AM3 trades$1201 min
8/11/2025, 3:28:54 PM2 trades$1180 min
6/29/2026, 7:03:10 AM6 trades$1170 min
11/28/2025, 8:31:57 PM1 trades$1110 min
12/1/2025, 10:06:32 PM2 trades$1010 min
11/17/2025, 5:09:37 PM1 trades$830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-11
11-21
11-30
12-14
12-22
01-01
02-03
03-26
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.9 / M40.3 / H32.8