@JaneStreetIsrael

#2,750,67369

0xd01358afcbb1de91bd134edbd90affcc054ec6d7

~94d· 334 markets · 3705 tradesVol: $220,4012026-08-06 07:55:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (159/333)8.9/20
1.40x (win $6,511 / loss $4,654)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.45715/15
Sortino 4.48710/10
$+0.0410 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 162 (333 markets)10/10
53/89 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($672 / $2,337)8.3/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-248
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$220,401
Total Redeem
$9,166
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
334
total markets
Trades
3061B / 644S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
159W / 174L events
Realized PnL
$-251
Win Rate
48%
159W / 174L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,305 (5.203286403701193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET$568
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?$373
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?$364
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET$322
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 12AM ET$268
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET$199
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET$188
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11AM ET$184
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?$169
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 30?$160

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?$-597
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET$-241
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18?$-186
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1AM ET$-180
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$-168
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17?$-149
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?$-146
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8AM ET$-141
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 12PM ET$-132
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 1PM ET$-119

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.185
HHI
207
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.6m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency2.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.6%
High (>55c)60.5%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 3:10:31 PM98 trades$2,35739 min
7/30/2026, 2:48:08 PM68 trades$1,37327 min
7/7/2026, 3:11:08 PM65 trades$82214 min
7/26/2026, 2:59:04 PM74 trades$81538 min
6/20/2026, 2:05:17 PM67 trades$80828 min
6/19/2026, 3:28:17 PM60 trades$75021 min
5/14/2026, 1:55:35 PM87 trades$63415 min
7/4/2026, 3:16:20 PM40 trades$58220 min
6/27/2026, 3:09:14 PM41 trades$58122 min
6/27/2026, 3:37:28 PM31 trades$4869 min
6/17/2026, 3:33:56 PM32 trades$47611 min
4/26/2026, 10:34:56 PM34 trades$4482 min
5/27/2026, 3:30:22 PM22 trades$40714 min
4/26/2026, 10:15:48 PM44 trades$3843 min
7/4/2026, 3:42:08 PM20 trades$3627 min
6/26/2026, 2:49:34 PM16 trades$35915 min
4/26/2026, 2:36:48 AM35 trades$3353 min
6/26/2026, 3:50:56 AM19 trades$30916 min
5/1/2026, 2:05:50 PM21 trades$3047 min
5/10/2026, 2:59:53 PM2 trades$3010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-18
04-01
05-11
06-14
06-29
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M16.6 / H60.5