@0xd1d8…eb94
180xd1d834774d3b252b71b9c803399d9e62590eeb94
~22d· 46 markets · 203 trades2026-08-06 07:58:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (17/38)7.4/20
0.36x (win $701 / loss $1,947)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.8370/15
Sortino -8.9670/10
$-0.2909 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 455 (38 markets)10/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 20290% of peak ($1,402 / $7)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,349
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,284
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
103B / 100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
17W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-1,349
Win Rate
45%
17W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-102
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $293 (0.21729942162242327% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$107
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Top Losers
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$-722
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$-245
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Chile wins Copa America 2024?$-67
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-50
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.485
Sortino
-0.501
HHI
480
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.350
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
35.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.1%
High (>55c)58.3%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 4:45:55 PM44 trades$1,83213 min
10/31/2025, 1:23:45 PM2 trades$9951 min
6/11/2026, 4:31:52 PM22 trades$8119 min
6/11/2026, 4:06:30 PM18 trades$61410 min
7/30/2026, 9:49:27 PM24 trades$4521 min
6/24/2026, 3:50:22 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/2/2026, 11:07:07 PM2 trades$1340 min
6/17/2024, 10:16:46 PM2 trades$1342 min
7/1/2026, 3:39:04 PM5 trades$1022 min
6/3/2024, 5:55:24 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/27/2025, 11:57:27 AM1 trades$980 min
6/25/2026, 1:19:38 AM2 trades$970 min
6/24/2026, 2:28:41 PM2 trades$950 min
7/1/2026, 7:32:46 AM6 trades$920 min
7/2/2026, 8:16:53 PM5 trades$861 min
6/30/2025, 3:02:25 PM3 trades$811 min
6/11/2026, 4:25:25 PM2 trades$710 min
6/29/2026, 5:05:22 PM3 trades$630 min
6/30/2026, 3:57:02 PM3 trades$571 min
7/20/2025, 1:17:01 PM1 trades$510 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
08-02
10-31
12-14
06-11
06-24
06-25
07-04
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 313 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M29.1 / H58.3