@robrabby

#2,656,74811

0xd8e3b7b88cb10964ad7a2136442755a2b433c41e

~11d· 12 markets · 50 tradesVol: $3,2462026-08-06 07:59:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (4/11)3.2/20
0.82x (win $401 / loss $488)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6970/15
Sortino -2.4970/10
$-0.0765 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1060 (11 markets)7.2/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($280 / $193)0/10

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#289,289$-152Vol: $1,030
🏛️ POLITICS#66,677$92Vol: $738
💻 TECH#253,752$-208Vol: $570
🎭 CULTURE#14,427$187Vol: $456
📢 MENTIONS#161,553$-78Vol: $343
₿ CRYPTO#264,003$7Vol: $108

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,246
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
20B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$6
Vol: $149
Month
$6
Vol: $149
All Time
$-151
Vol: $3,246

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
4W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-151
Win Rate
36%
4W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $398 (2.6293160470961765% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$187
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?$126
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)$84
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$3

Top Losers

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$-140
Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?$-120
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-78
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$-50
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.084
Sortino
-0.216
HHI
1275
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
69.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
50.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3039s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)55%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 8:11:28 AM13 trades$3431 min
2/14/2026, 2:51:23 PM1 trades$2690 min
6/12/2026, 1:32:42 AM2 trades$2170 min
7/20/2026, 12:29:52 PM7 trades$1660 min
4/21/2026, 9:04:02 AM8 trades$1550 min
1/25/2026, 3:06:08 AM2 trades$1402 min
3/21/2026, 3:18:25 AM1 trades$1400 min
6/26/2026, 1:43:11 AM5 trades$1382 min
2/4/2026, 1:30:30 AM1 trades$1200 min
8/5/2026, 5:31:00 PM4 trades$410 min
6/12/2026, 3:49:28 AM1 trades$170 min
6/26/2026, 11:39:11 AM1 trades$20 min
6/27/2026, 6:40:53 AM1 trades$10 min
6/27/2026, 6:32:04 AM1 trades$00 min
6/27/2026, 2:18:38 AM1 trades$00 min
6/26/2026, 2:36:04 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-04
02-14
03-21
04-21
06-12
06-26
06-27
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M35 / H55