@dfdeye

#1,917,0368

0xe34fc1c8ef0ffaec56300202f8760655109b02a6

~18d· 49 markets · 142 tradesVol: $11,5762026-08-06 07:10:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (5/28)0/20
0.10x (win $2 / loss $22)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.4020/15
Sortino -8.4660/10
$-0.0031 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1274 (28 markets)6.1/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($20 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,035,815$-3Vol: $6,460
⚽ SPORTS#990,552$-1Vol: $2,397
📈 ECONOMICS#426,923$-0Vol: $1,330
₿ CRYPTO#1,116,527$-8Vol: $987
🎭 CULTURE#240,606$0Vol: $241
💰 FINANCE#373,849$-0Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,576
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
72B / 70S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $313
Month
$-1
Vol: $313
All Time
$-13
Vol: $11,576

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
5W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
18%
5W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.14081145584725538% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1
US strike on Mexico by January 31?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$-9
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-1
Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-1
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-1
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$-1
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$-1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-0
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.473
Sortino
-0.403
HHI
1022
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
65.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)93.1%

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 5:40:23 AM6 trades$2,0596 min
3/2/2026, 5:54:25 AM4 trades$2,0262 min
2/20/2026, 5:30:30 AM3 trades$1,2711 min
3/2/2026, 5:30:23 AM3 trades$1,0321 min
3/2/2026, 6:16:15 AM2 trades$9990 min
2/20/2026, 5:14:56 AM3 trades$6841 min
2/20/2026, 5:50:12 AM2 trades$6720 min
7/29/2026, 6:59:51 AM12 trades$3898 min
7/29/2026, 7:21:30 AM9 trades$2963 min
7/29/2026, 6:25:00 AM8 trades$2534 min
1/15/2026, 3:44:50 PM5 trades$1913 min
1/9/2026, 1:14:02 PM7 trades$1684 min
8/4/2026, 10:23:30 AM11 trades$1522 min
5/25/2026, 11:26:17 AM2 trades$1220 min
5/25/2026, 11:49:18 AM2 trades$1220 min
1/9/2026, 4:29:28 PM4 trades$1072 min
1/9/2026, 4:39:54 PM4 trades$1071 min
1/15/2026, 3:55:04 PM2 trades$960 min
1/15/2026, 3:35:18 PM3 trades$961 min
8/4/2026, 10:44:14 AM6 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
01-09
02-20
03-10
03-28
06-21
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M2.8 / H93.1