@Morgrur
#2,795,53460xe6dfeed8c71fd328dedaacb4444f1fa5af16f822
~42d· 90 markets · 1253 tradesVol: $156,0722026-08-06 07:09:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (32/79)5.3/20
0.41x (win $1,471 / loss $3,582)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6450/15
Sortino -8.6190/10
$-0.0782 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2261 (79 markets)1.2/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,111 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#82,188$61Vol: $151,320
₿ CRYPTO#1,560,339$-276Vol: $4,351
⚽ SPORTS#1,692,195$-110Vol: $400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,072
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
564B / 689S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
Periods
#2Today
$20
Vol: $0
Week
$-80
Vol: $4,744
Month
$-41
Vol: $6,812
All Time
$-325
Vol: $156,072
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
32W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-361
Win Rate
41%
32W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-76
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,008 (2.792861695347355% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$516
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$406
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$21
Top Losers
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-1,244
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$-521
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-416
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-193
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$-182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-128
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$-120
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$-51
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.429
Sortino
-0.562
HHI
642
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.196
Kelly %
3.3%
Half-Kelly
1.7%
Top-1 market
24.7%
Top-5 markets
34.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.1m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 4.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)53.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)14.2%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 7:03:43 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/1/2026, 5:45:19 AM20 trades$4,0484 min
6/23/2026, 7:14:29 PM23 trades$3,3730 min
6/19/2026, 1:30:52 PM17 trades$3,2150 min
4/23/2026, 7:07:26 PM2 trades$3,0180 min
5/23/2026, 8:56:17 PM6 trades$2,6780 min
4/23/2026, 8:46:40 PM2 trades$2,2730 min
6/15/2026, 1:13:34 PM34 trades$2,2173 min
8/1/2026, 5:40:33 AM4 trades$2,0680 min
7/26/2026, 8:43:28 AM5 trades$2,0150 min
4/12/2026, 6:43:47 PM4 trades$1,7095 min
5/30/2026, 6:06:56 PM4 trades$1,6700 min
7/6/2026, 5:24:37 AM4 trades$1,5823 min
7/14/2026, 8:43:08 PM2 trades$1,3900 min
6/14/2026, 5:49:31 PM15 trades$1,3896 min
7/2/2026, 10:47:19 AM8 trades$1,2780 min
5/25/2026, 3:15:39 PM20 trades$1,2680 min
7/16/2026, 11:30:56 AM25 trades$1,0782 min
5/1/2026, 10:45:28 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
5/25/2026, 10:36:03 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-30
05-01
05-02
05-24
05-25
06-13
06-14
07-19
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.7 / M32.1 / H14.2