@thiagopd
#2,942,156360xe99f12b3c3b098eba79f4f59ae652ef3548fe595
~44d· 124 markets · 493 tradesVol: $60,0732026-08-06 05:41:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
69% (85/123)19.6/20
0.79x (win $6,203 / loss $7,808)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7890/15
Sortino -2.2630/10
$-0.0558 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 342 (123 markets)10/10
24/42 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($4,386 / $2,782)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 69%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,833,904$-1,114Vol: $60,073
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,073
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
203B / 290S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$-107
Vol: $772
Week
$-67
Vol: $1,435
Month
$-67
Vol: $1,435
All Time
$-1,114
Vol: $60,073
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
85W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-1,114
Win Rate
70%
85W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-244
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,085 (1.8722920987188814% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,028
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$562
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur$495
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$250
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur$226
Will England win on 2026-06-10?$226
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$217
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$182
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$174
Spurs vs. Knicks$170
Top Losers
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-1,262
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-1,184
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$-855
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-630
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$-486
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-08-05?$-447
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-398
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-375
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios$-236
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-225
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.100
HHI
365
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
32.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4545s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)91.1%
Sessions
#126/12/2026, 4:47:18 PM16 trades$2,4761 min
6/11/2026, 4:46:12 PM4 trades$2,2661 min
6/12/2026, 7:58:27 PM8 trades$1,9742 min
6/11/2026, 12:38:13 PM6 trades$1,7950 min
6/12/2026, 3:39:48 PM2 trades$1,6460 min
6/10/2026, 11:39:15 PM4 trades$1,6000 min
7/5/2026, 9:30:04 PM2 trades$1,3250 min
6/12/2026, 8:59:24 AM11 trades$1,1790 min
6/20/2026, 2:31:28 AM4 trades$1,0181 min
6/11/2026, 11:56:45 AM3 trades$9670 min
6/7/2026, 7:04:21 PM4 trades$9490 min
6/12/2026, 7:19:51 PM2 trades$8810 min
6/8/2026, 5:09:43 PM2 trades$8560 min
6/8/2026, 4:10:06 PM2 trades$8480 min
6/19/2026, 1:49:28 AM5 trades$8441 min
7/5/2026, 7:32:02 PM2 trades$7790 min
6/11/2026, 2:28:28 PM2 trades$7720 min
6/7/2026, 10:32:30 AM2 trades$7570 min
6/10/2026, 7:23:54 PM2 trades$7530 min
6/13/2026, 4:54:54 PM2 trades$7220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
05-31
06-08
06-15
06-22
07-01
08-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M8.9 / H91.1